Appraisal comments examples

I Didn't Have Eggs: Terrible recipe reviews

2020.07.05 20:57 mdawgig I Didn't Have Eggs: Terrible recipe reviews

Reviews by people who don't follow a recipe and then complain that it sucks.
[link]


2016.08.06 17:31 tippytaps: the cutest subreddit on the internet

Animals doing Tippy Taps
[link]


2016.09.28 04:45 killlameme7 MemeEconomy

[link]


2024.06.02 18:01 AutoModerator Reminder: Ask for drama recommendations in r/CdramaRecs

If you're looking for Chinese dramas, please post your request at CDramaRecs, our sister subreddit exclusively created for Chinese drama recommendations.
But first, here's a quick guide on how to make the requests:

First, use the search function

Before posting your request, search Cdrama for what you're looking for.
We get a lot of "drama like" requests, especially for dramas like Hidden Love, Love Between Fairy and Devil, Till the End of the Moon.
So, search for "Dramas like [name of drama]" you will find a lot of results.
For popular dramas like these, we'd recommend that you use the search function.

Tips on writing a good drama rec request

Tip #1: Write a good title and ensure it contains your criteria
Good:
Not great:
Tip #2: Ensure that your body contains the following information.
Note: You do not have to list ALL of these items, but at least tell us what genre and what you are looking for. It's even more helpful if you list dramas that you've watched.
Too often, we get low effort requests where the title of the post is just "Cdramas pls" and the body text is something vague like "I need more to watch" or "I just finished watching a CDrama and want more". That's too little information for us to go by, and unfortunately, this is a favourite tactic of spammers to increase their karma, so please don't do this. Posts like these will be removed.
Please ensure your body text contains some of the following:
Here are examples of good drama recommendation requests:
Hope it's all clear! Now, head over to CDramaRecs!
submitted by AutoModerator to CDrama [link] [comments]


2024.06.02 17:57 WuMedic Hiring first worker to help - IC or EE?

So my business partner and I have been at it for almost exactly a year now and we are getting to the point that we need help. Our clientele skews young and female and I have basically no social media knowledge so she's been doing the brunt of the social media stuff. Unfortunately (or fortunately, I guess), our social media accounts have taken off, and since I'm basically useless at social media, the onslaught of messages, comments, etc, has fallen on my partner to the point it is interfering with her main duties seeing clients.
She has a college acquaintance who is a stay at home mom that we think would be perfect for the role. This individual is looking for some extra work and wants to be able to work from home while she has her child. We don't have a ton of work for her, but figured if she can help respond to messages a few times a day on our busier days it would take a lot of the work of social media off of my partner. As we grow, she could also come in and help with inventory once a week if we get to the point where we don't want to do that ourselves either.
I figured that hiring her on as an independent contractor is the way to go. She can decide when she wants to log onto the social media accounts to answer messages and she has no need to ask us to change her schedule if her child needs to go to a birthday party from 1-3 for example. She's answering the basic messages (answers that people can find on our website, but just decide to ask via DM for example) and interacting with our followers on SM however she feels is appropriate. She uses her own computephone, and we don't really provide anything for her other than a set monthly amount.
I'm not opposed to bringing her on as an employee, but I understand that comes with it's own set of challenges. We can't really hire her own hourly, as she'd have to log 15 minutes here to log into al the SM's and check them in the morning with only 2 responses, but maybe that afternoon she'd log 45 minutes to interact with followers on a new post. Could we do a salary situation for an estimated 8 hours of work a week? Anyone have any other solutions to how to classify this worker?
Thanks!
submitted by WuMedic to smallbusiness [link] [comments]


2024.06.02 17:57 yarekuza my long distance situationship (27M) says his family will never accept my (24F) body. now what?

A couple months ago I met a great guy who was doing a PhD in my country. We clicked, went on a few trips together, dated for two months before he suddenly had do go back to his country for work. One of his coworkers had to quit to be with his dying grandfather and my guy volountered to replace him „to avoid the company falling apart”. Before he left he said he loved me (which we never spoke about again), and as he was calling me from the airport he asked if I'd be up for long distance. Weeks went by, he bought me flight tickets to meet him for a week by the end of this month. It was a big expense and I was going to cover it myself, but he insisted. We would talk on the phone for hours almost every day, things were going as well as LD could. When he was going away for the weekend to have a bbq with his friends at some cabin I asked him to send me pictures (I always send him random pics throught the day despite him almost never sending any back). He said that it would be weird of him to take pictures of a place he's been to before. He then apparently lost his charger and couldn't contact me for the whole trip due to bad service. I tried to let it go, but I never really believed him that was the case. In the last week he started messaging less and less, which I eventually asked about. Only then did he admit to be looking for a new part time job – wouldn't say what job exactly „not to jinx it” - so I gave him some space. But one day I couldn't sleep and decided to check the accounts he follows on instagram (this is how I found out about my last boyfriend cheating). Other than multiple cosplay soft porn accounts I saw a bunch of girls from my country (and he told me before he went on many tinder dates before meeting me), as well as other girls, among which was someone he clearly went on vacation with last year. He commented a laughing emoji under one of her recent bikini pictures. I saw him liking other random girls selfies too. That evening, I asked him if he ever lied to me. To my surprise, he said he did, and that was because „we're not close enough to be sharing all information”. He kept asking me what do I think he lied about, so I told him about my little research. He said he would unfollow the soft porn accounts (and he did the ones I sent him as examples, but kept the rest) and mentioned that vacation friend to be someone he met while traveling with his sister. He then admitted that he doesn't want me to meet his family because of my body – and that was supposed to be one of his lies he told me about before. I have multiple self harm scars from my teenage depression years, and he said his family would never accept it, and I could probably never accept them – we come from different cultures. When I asked him if he ever cared and why would he keep playig with me despite not having any faith in our relationship, he said that him funding my trip was supposed to show that he cares. Apparently he has financial issues that he's insecure about, which he's never mentioned before. He wanted to call me the next day, despite me having said that I would be busy (which was true, I had a 12h shift). When I sąw his message asking to call on that day I ignored it due to being occupied – and, frankly, still very hurt and angry at him. It's been almost a week since then. He still follows me, but stopped viewing my stories or liking my posts on instagram. I also checked the tickets – he has not returned them. I'm still hurt by his words and actions but miss him at the same time. And I realise I wasn't kind to him during our last conversation – which I do think he deserved, but I'm still not very proud of. Yet him completely pulling back now confuses me. He said we're exclusive and asked me multiple questions about marriage, we had great conversations. Now what?
submitted by yarekuza to relationship_advice [link] [comments]


2024.06.02 17:52 RarePotato1325 Why is her worth determined by SI? Go ahead-ask your oppressor to value you. Her worth is STILL all based on looks. That's ALL SI is and ever has been about-looks. She's upholding the BS. Praise for being real?🤦🏻‍♀️ lip & other filler, filters.

Why is her worth determined by SI? Go ahead-ask your oppressor to value you. Her worth is STILL all based on looks. That's ALL SI is and ever has been about-looks. She's upholding the BS. Praise for being real?🤦🏻‍♀️ lip & other filler, filters.
She chose her reel cover pic bc it’s someone bigger than her. She’s upholding the bullshit she claims to be against.
Notice how most of the comments are praising her for how she looks? They're crying about it? That's still about basing worth on looks. Nothing has changed. Nothing. And she isn't natural; she gets work done, and the WORST part is she filters herself skinny and changes her features every damn day. She is the system that upholds unrealistic beauty standards. The worst part is she is a wolf in sheep’s clothing. She gets praised for it, and the cycle continues.
She places no value on contributing to this world or life without involving looks/selfies/ talking about herself/ etc. It’s ABSOLUTELY valueless.
She’s practically 40 and has done nothing. She doesn't value motherhood, community, or changing the world for the better, and she has no education, skills, or legacy for herself or as an example to her children.
She cries and manipulates to get what she wants. She holds other people hostage to her emotions and then begs SI to value her. That's like asking your oppressor or abuser to love you.
Then she says it’s THE best day of her life to walk on a runway for a system that created unrealistic beauty standards?! They're not inclusive; they don't care, and they're following a trend for $$$, just like Sarah was there bc Knix was the sponsor. There's SO much wrong with this, and it goes right over her head. The fact that she has a narrative about her body is part of the problem.
I've never felt so grateful to be walking my dog in nature, making homemade sauce for my family dinner tonight, and going to work tomorrow to try to make a dent in helping those who need it the most. And I can tell you it’s not bland, fake, manipulating, lying sacks of shit who create harm under the guise of helping. It’s people who didn’t have mommy and daddy to bail them out and give them a house and car and raise their kids so they can take naked selfies; it’s people with tremendous trauma and mental health issues who need to have their basic survival needs met.
I'm thankful I'm not obsessed with my looks and willing to step on anyone I can to get what I want. One day she's going to realize how much of her life she wasted on meaningless shit. One day, her kids will recognize her, too. I'm glad it's not me who has that wake-up call coming at me. She'll never feel validated, praised, or good enough because she seeks it from outside sources.
For anyone who is feeling like this world is fucked up and how unfair it is that Sarah gets away with it. Remember this: she isn't getting away with anything. We all find meaning way differently than Sarah (thank God), and we get to decide what meaning we give this one. She has an empty life, and her eyes say it all. She is part of the same system that she pretends to fight against. We are the ones creating new systems.
You're all smart, thoughtful, aware, brave people with your own belief system who work to change the shitty things in this world instead of being of it. That's where worth lies. I feel sorry for her; she’ll never know it. The saddest part of all this is her message for her children. I hope they're able to break that pattern. We are part of the world that is making that possible.
submitted by RarePotato1325 to birdspapayasarah [link] [comments]


2024.06.02 17:45 InotiaKing Maybe the Real Treasure

Maybe the Real Treasure
https://preview.redd.it/m1r980xmf64d1.png?width=1916&format=png&auto=webp&s=5a0aa072b477d1c2309549edec1787817a96c29a
What's up guys! It's your friendly Hoyoverse overthinker Inotia King. As always before we begin I just want to make sure new readers have checked out my older topics which my newer theories are built upon. So for the Genshin ones you can click here. And for the Honkai related ones you can click here.
-were all these books we got in the end!
In spite of the exciting story and look into the backstory of our upcoming character Sethos, I got the most excited about this new Temple of Silence sect and the hope that this information will add tons of new lore to the game!
https://preview.redd.it/3jxw8r8sf64d1.png?width=494&format=png&auto=webp&s=46b0c2a628e9c4af29905181126afd0fbd14bd1a
We have tons of information now to be able to deep dive into several parts of the lore but miHoYo's been clever enough to toss red herring after red herring at us as well. Hopefully given that we're closing in on Natlan, which may necessarily have to reveal the truth about some of this stuff the addition of this Temple of Silence (specifically how it used to eliminate "forbidden" knowledge) will slowly divulge the rest too.
https://preview.redd.it/msbi8qwpi64d1.png?width=1916&format=png&auto=webp&s=7bf1135e8b09fc468fd7783d1900c55b60989a9a
For example: Alhaitham brings up yet another seven reference for Genshin. The Seven Pillars or seven sages of Deshret were listed out in the v4.5 weapon we got from the Achemical Ascension event. This one goes back far. A long time ago there were theories suggesting that Hermanubis was actually referring to Deshret himself, the sage of all sages. This quest seems to void this but maybe not. According to Bamoun, Hermanubis empowered his last followers with pieces of his soul in the Ba Fragments. Where did he learn to do this? Maybe from Deshret?
The Seven Pillars were described in the polearm in a very particular way: The Goat King was his right hand, Bennu was his soul, Shesepankh his will and finally Apep herself took his flesh and blood. While this is legend - and even more so Genshin YuGiOH! - I wouldn't put it beyond Yae's ploys to have added some honest details. Just think back on how she worked her Character Quest. In my theory I also put forth that Thoth related to Nabu and since Nabu relates to Mercury which relates to Hermanubis it connects Thoth with Hermanubis as well and Thoth is depicted as an ibis. Taking it all together we can connect the three that weren't explained by the weapon to Deshret. Thoth would be the Ibis King and Ammut normally depicted with a crocodile head would be the Crocodile King. Thoth records the results of Anubis weighing a person's soul on the scales of Ma'at (essentially Egyptian Imaginary Tree) and Ammut eats those who fail. While the others represent some aspect of Deshret, these three play a very special role for him. We learn from Apep that another name Deshret had (the man had a ton) was Amun aka Amun-Ra the sun god. As Ra, he'd be related to the myth of Ra's Journey or the death and rebirth of Ra. If death is going to be involved that's the jurisdiction of all three of our last players. And of course one of the biggest players who already fulfilled her role in Ra's Journey was Apep who ate Deshret which ends the cycle.
Side Note: Ba btw is the Egyptian equivalent of what we'd call a soul and Bennu in real life is Ra's ba. The Shesepankh is what we today might call the Sphinx. Sphinx is actually Greek and a totally different creature. The original Egyptian shesepankh is actually a representation "in living stone" of the person depicted by its human head usually a pharaoah. And as it would relate to Deshret we have to first talk about the Goat King. Goats or rams represent Amun and ram-headed shesepankh were erected as protection symbols for pharaohs.
If this is all part of what miHoYo had in mind then seven is becoming more and more of a common theme. In particular it's strange that Phanes would split itself into only four other shades. In my theory it left two unaccounted classical planets, another seven reference. Deshret's Hermanubis and Nabu relate to Mercury. Istaroth is based on a portmanteau of Ishtar and Ashtaroth both being the same god and relating to Venus. Phanes itself relates to the Sun. However then we have it that Nabu and Deshret's Ibis King also relate to the Moon. And Saturn actually relates to Mercury through the Sumerian Ninurta and if we're going by lore this likely refers to the Imaginary Tree. So thinking about it that way there could be hidden lore to uncover that then explains these missing two parts. For example if we can relate Saturn to the Imaginary Tree but also link it to Mercury which relates to Paimon, could Paimon then be with our Traveler as their guide as part of the tree's plan aka what we are hinted about in the Gnostic Chorus? This could also be seen with Nabu and her Khvarena, an entity that can cancel out the Abyss therefore is likely also imbued with the power of Imaginary. And with their relation to the moon perhaps that could tie in to the moon sister that sided with humanity.
Basically, while nothing is set in stone from this information it could all lead into major developments so let's keep our eyes peeled.
https://preview.redd.it/7q4g35oji64d1.png?width=494&format=png&auto=webp&s=1d54ad24c7a46080857910507c50860cc84a0dfe
https://preview.redd.it/fmrcmzbki64d1.png?width=1914&format=png&auto=webp&s=1c3a45bf7a19bd9cf83172b8040cf80e1bcf6cf9
I don't think anybody was thrown off by this part of the quest being resolved so quickly. It was pretty on the nose in spite of miHoYo's best efforts to dissuade us. But I think the way they had this situation play out speaks to a real concern in China these days, though it's pretty much universal.
We find out that Urraca is a poor student whose parents are usually working out of town. As such they have little time to watch over their kids. With such little supervision Urraca fell into gambling and began finding shady methods for getting Mora. In our world there's the well-known example in Japan with parents needing to work overseas and if they don't bring their kids with them, they leave their kids at home by themselves. It's not as widespread of an issue as anime would make it out to be (it's just easier to write stories about characters that don't have parents so they don't have to include unnecessary NPCs) but overworking and kids having to fend for themselves is an issue they're dealing with over there. China has a similar issue with parents that have to work far away from home. They usually leave the kids with their grandparents who only know to spoil them and so it's very easy for these kids to fall in with the wrong crowd and pick up bad habits. In both of these examples the parents have no choice. They need to go where there is work and then they can't be there for their kids. On our side of the world we might categorize it as negligent parents. You might have career driven parents that focus all their attention on work, parents that just never grew up or those who were just overwhelmed for any number of reasons and checked out of parenting. No matter the reason it usually leads to the kids developing bad behaviors and having problems becoming productive members of society.
Side Note: Btw Urraca is a Basque name likely derived from the Goddess Mari Urraca and is usually a girl's name. As a pagan goddess it could be that following the Christianization of Spain, someone who was named Urraca was vilified and her name associated with the magpie. In Spanish Urraca is related to theft as a result because there's a belief that magpies like stealing shiny objects. (In reality magpies are like most birds and shy away from shiny and reflective things.) Anyway the thievery stereotype is likely what miHoYo was going for with Urraca though they probably also shied away from making the NPC female for fear of unnecessary and unrelated connotations.
The other side of it is that the kid's only sixteen years old but everybody thought he was almost thirty. Life has not been kind. There's a few ways to look at this. Going off of the previous issue, Urraca might have fallen in with the wrong crowd and gotten into drugs. Smoking has been blamed for causing premature aging in the adolescent population on this side of the world. There are studies being done to see the aging effects of other drugs too. Then going back to China there's also overworking but in an academic sense. Urraca's not a good student so this might not fit him but there are kids that are being overworked either by their parents (who again don't have time to spend on their kids) pushing them to work hard to avoid the life they've had to lead. Or it could even be the kids themselves because of how competitive a country with millions of college graduates can be. And we are talking about Sumeru's Academia so it's very likely even if Urraca isn't in this camp there are plenty that fit this bill. Hosseini for example, who is actually thirty but looks like somebody's grandpa.
That as heavy. On the lighter side we have
https://preview.redd.it/gbkpbcsei64d1.png?width=1914&format=png&auto=webp&s=5dc5e010cbf594c1492ff78e1c93ef04fb7b91e4
because of course this guy can't just let it go. It's been over a year since Alhaitham's Character Quest when he was made Acting Grand Sage and mentioned his pay raise. Get over it my dude lol
https://preview.redd.it/t8gbsacai64d1.png?width=494&format=png&auto=webp&s=cd2bb497092f1363c7a21ae821141f35274fb5de
Ok so what did Cyno's new quest give us?
  • Hopefully tons of new lore and background information thanks to the introduction of the Temple of Silence and the upcoming Sethos.
  • Alhaitham mentioning yet another reference to the number seven opens the door to so many possibilities connecting Teyvat's lore. It's still too early to tell but there's likely something going on there.
  • Suffice it to say miHoYo grabbed the motherload of Egyptian mythology for Deshret.
  • Urraca could be a discussion on the modern "lost generation" by miHoYo. It's a worldwide problem so it's good of miHoYo to bring it up even in passing.
  • Get over it Kaveh! Alhaitham earns the money he makes lol
submitted by InotiaKing to GenshinLorepact [link] [comments]


2024.06.02 17:45 InotiaKing Maybe the Real Treasure

Maybe the Real Treasure
https://preview.redd.it/zucbh746f64d1.png?width=1916&format=png&auto=webp&s=e4eff2c1ea8359a5e3fc3867ed2bcbbf956cc56c
What's up guys! It's your friendly Hoyoverse overthinker Inotia King. As always before we begin I just want to make sure new readers have checked out my older topics which my newer theories are built upon. So for the Genshin ones you can click here. And for the Honkai related ones you can click here.
-were all these books we got in the end!
In spite of the exciting story and look into the backstory of our upcoming character Sethos, I got the most excited about this new Temple of Silence sect and the hope that this information will add tons of new lore to the game!
https://preview.redd.it/auasac5of64d1.png?width=494&format=png&auto=webp&s=06bf99d010d7881d71f3c8ced192ff9ee93cdc78
We have tons of information now to be able to deep dive into several parts of the lore but miHoYo's been clever enough to toss red herring after red herring at us as well. Hopefully given that we're closing in on Natlan, which may necessarily have to reveal the truth about some of this stuff the addition of this Temple of Silence (specifically how it used to eliminate "forbidden" knowledge) will slowly divulge the rest too.
https://preview.redd.it/u25docg0g64d1.png?width=1916&format=png&auto=webp&s=733a01f5a5e131f918178f291b940b66d450139d
For example: Alhaitham brings up yet another seven reference for Genshin. The Seven Pillars or seven sages of Deshret were listed out in the v4.5 weapon we got from the Achemical Ascension event. This one goes back far. A long time ago there were theories suggesting that Hermanubis was actually referring to Deshret himself, the sage of all sages. This quest seems to void this but maybe not. According to Bamoun, Hermanubis empowered his last followers with pieces of his soul in the Ba Fragments. Where did he learn to do this? Maybe from Deshret?
The Seven Pillars were described in the polearm in a very particular way: The Goat King was his right hand, Bennu was his soul, Shesepankh his will and finally Apep herself took his flesh and blood. While this is legend - and even more so Genshin YuGiOH! - I wouldn't put it beyond Yae's ploys to have added some honest details. Just think back on how she worked her Character Quest. In my theory I also put forth that Thoth related to Nabu and since Nabu relates to Mercury which relates to Hermanubis it connects Thoth with Hermanubis as well and Thoth is depicted as an ibis. Taking it all together we can connect the three that weren't explained by the weapon to Deshret. Thoth would be the Ibis King and Ammut normally depicted with a crocodile head would be the Crocodile King. Thoth records the results of Anubis weighing a person's soul on the scales of Ma'at (essentially Egyptian Imaginary Tree) and Ammut eats those who fail. While the others represent some aspect of Deshret, these three play a very special role for him. We learn from Apep that another name Deshret had (the man had a ton) was Amun aka Amun-Ra the sun god. As Ra, he'd be related to the myth of Ra's Journey or the death and rebirth of Ra. If death is going to be involved that's the jurisdiction of all three of our last players. And of course one of the biggest players who already fulfilled her role in Ra's Journey was Apep who ate Deshret which ends the cycle.
Side Note: Ba btw is the Egyptian equivalent of what we'd call a soul and Bennu in real life is Ra's ba. The Shesepankh is what we today might call the Sphinx. Sphinx is actually Greek and a totally different creature. The original Egyptian shesepankh is actually a representation "in living stone" of the person depicted by its human head usually a pharaoah. And as it would relate to Deshret we have to first talk about the Goat King. Goats or rams represent Amun and ram-headed shesepankh were erected as protection symbols for pharaohs.
If this is all part of what miHoYo had in mind then seven is becoming more and more of a common theme. In particular it's strange that Phanes would split itself into only four other shades. In my theory it left two unaccounted classical planets, another seven reference. Deshret's Hermanubis and Nabu relate to Mercury. Istaroth is based on a portmanteau of Ishtar and Ashtaroth both being the same god and relating to Venus. Phanes itself relates to the Sun. However then we have it that Nabu and Deshret's Ibis King also relate to the Moon. And Saturn actually relates to Mercury through the Sumerian Ninurta and if we're going by lore this likely refers to the Imaginary Tree. So thinking about it that way there could be hidden lore to uncover that then explains these missing two parts. For example if we can relate Saturn to the Imaginary Tree but also link it to Mercury which relates to Paimon, could Paimon then be with our Traveler as their guide as part of the tree's plan aka what we are hinted about in the Gnostic Chorus? This could also be seen with Nabu and her Khvarena, an entity that can cancel out the Abyss therefore is likely also imbued with the power of Imaginary. And with their relation to the moon perhaps that could tie in to the moon sister that sided with humanity.
Basically, while nothing is set in stone from this information it could all lead into major developments so let's keep our eyes peeled.
https://preview.redd.it/y44h5n37h64d1.png?width=494&format=png&auto=webp&s=1b927050b5dae18a613a7fa8cadce7bbe200ca94
https://preview.redd.it/a7imxkq7h64d1.png?width=1914&format=png&auto=webp&s=e87eb872074783a22123e99b152d49215548f8ef
I don't think anybody was thrown off by this part of the quest being resolved so quickly. It was pretty on the nose in spite of miHoYo's best efforts to dissuade us. But I think the way they had this situation play out speaks to a real concern in China these days, though it's pretty much universal.
We find out that Urraca is a poor student whose parents are usually working out of town. As such they have little time to watch over their kids. With such little supervision Urraca fell into gambling and began finding shady methods for getting Mora. In our world there's the well-known example in Japan with parents needing to work overseas and if they don't bring their kids with them, they leave their kids at home by themselves. It's not as widespread of an issue as anime would make it out to be (it's just easier to write stories about characters that don't have parents so they don't have to include unnecessary NPCs) but overworking and kids having to fend for themselves is an issue they're dealing with over there. China has a similar issue with parents that have to work far away from home. They usually leave the kids with their grandparents who only know to spoil them and so it's very easy for these kids to fall in with the wrong crowd and pick up bad habits. In both of these examples the parents have no choice. They need to go where there is work and then they can't be there for their kids. On our side of the world we might categorize it as negligent parents. You might have career driven parents that focus all their attention on work, parents that just never grew up or those who were just overwhelmed for any number of reasons and checked out of parenting. No matter the reason it usually leads to the kids developing bad behaviors and having problems becoming productive members of society.
Side Note: Btw Urraca is a Basque name likely derived from the Goddess Mari Urraca and is usually a girl's name. As a pagan goddess it could be that following the Christianization of Spain, someone who was named Urraca was vilified and her name associated with the magpie. In Spanish Urraca is related to theft as a result because there's a belief that magpies like stealing shiny objects. (In reality magpies are like most birds and shy away from shiny and reflective things.) Anyway the thievery stereotype is likely what miHoYo was going for with Urraca though they probably also shied away from making the NPC female for fear of unnecessary and unrelated connotations.
The other side of it is that the kid's only sixteen years old but everybody thought he was almost thirty. Life has not been kind. There's a few ways to look at this. Going off of the previous issue, Urraca might have fallen in with the wrong crowd and gotten into drugs. Smoking has been blamed for causing premature aging in the adolescent population on this side of the world. There are studies being done to see the aging effects of other drugs too. Then going back to China there's also overworking but in an academic sense. Urraca's not a good student so this might not fit him but there are kids that are being overworked either by their parents (who again don't have time to spend on their kids) pushing them to work hard to avoid the life they've had to lead. Or it could even be the kids themselves because of how competitive a country with millions of college graduates can be. And we are talking about Sumeru's Academia so it's very likely even if Urraca isn't in this camp there are plenty that fit this bill. Hosseini for example, who is actually thirty but looks like somebody's grandpa.
That as heavy. On the lighter side we have
https://preview.redd.it/0z9xpzv0i64d1.png?width=1914&format=png&auto=webp&s=93cbf1bd0c60ef3fd0a3141a494962d3326ae26f
because of course this guy can't just let it go. It's been over a year since Alhaitham's Character Quest when he was made Acting Grand Sage and mentioned his pay raise. Get over it my dude lol
https://preview.redd.it/g00jf2h8i64d1.png?width=494&format=png&auto=webp&s=ee50673852b0ecbf509487c1821eb9097b953bf0
Ok so what did Cyno's new quest give us?
  • Hopefully tons of new lore and background information thanks to the introduction of the Temple of Silence and the upcoming Sethos.
  • Alhaitham mentioning yet another reference to the number seven opens the door to so many possibilities connecting Teyvat's lore. It's still too early to tell but there's likely something going on there.
  • Suffice it to say miHoYo grabbed the motherload of Egyptian mythology for Deshret.
  • Urraca could be a discussion on the modern "lost generation" by miHoYo. It's a worldwide problem so it's good of miHoYo to bring it up even in passing.
  • Get over it Kaveh! Alhaitham earns the money he makes lol
submitted by InotiaKing to GenshinImpactLore [link] [comments]


2024.06.02 17:38 Hot_Reach_7138 Why are there people who think that Cersei is evil while Tyrion isn't when they are both listed under the same moral scaling?

For those of you who don’t know, there are several wikis for villains.
One of them is called Pure Evil wiki (which, in short, is about villains with no redeeming or sympathetic qualities), the second is called Near Pure Evil wiki (Which, in short, is about villains with almost no redeeming or sympathetic qualities but they still can’t qualify for the Pure Evil wiki for some reason. However, there are other cases where a villain can be Near Pure Evil even if they don't have any redeemable qualities like slightly lacking moral agency or slightly failing the heinous standard of the series because they don't go the extra mile in terms of crimes). There is also a third wiki called the Inconsistently Heinous wiki (which, in short, is about characters who have committed awful crimes, but they still have too many redeeming and sympathetic qualities and excuses for their actions to qualify as Pure Evil or Near Pure Evil). The name “Inconsistently Heinous” means that the characters are too inconsistent in their heinousness to be Near Pure Evil and they need to have many redeeming and sympathetic qualities and/or excuses for their actions. Often times Inconsistently Heinous characters can even be morally ambiguous heroes in the stories they are depicted, but they also do some bad things along the way.
Tyrion and Cersei from ASOIAF are both listed on the Inconsistently Heinous wiki which means they have both done some terrible things, but they can't qualify as Pure Evil or Near Pure Evil because they have excuses for they actions and many redeeming qualities and sympathetic moments.
The characters who listed on the Pure Evil wiki in the books are Joffrey, Ramsay, Gregor, Rorge, Craster, Euron and Maegor Targaryen.
The characters who listed on the Near Pure Evil wiki in the books are Tywin, Littlefinger, Roose Bolton, Walder Frey, Lothar Frey, Kraznys mo Nakloz, Aerys Targaryen, Lo Bu, Janos Slynt, Varamyr Sixskins, Rossart, Joron I Blacktyde, Khal Moro and Wyl of Wyl. There are of course many more characters who could fit on the Near Pure Evil wiki, but so far those are the only ones who have been proposed.
At this point, Tyrion has armed the clans from the mountains and has incited them to attack and pillage the Vale and has expressed a desire to reduce it to ash through said attacks (which gives him a higher body count than Cersei), has given the Antler's men to Joffrey to be brutally tortured and killed, has killed a singer and had his body cooked into stew and fed to poor people, has murdered his former girlfrined Shae and has raped at least one sex slave out of spite, yet many fans think he is a good person or at least a "grey character" who deserves to get a happy ending.
At the same time, Cersei, who has suffered a lot throughout her life and who has lived in fear her whole life that she and her children would get killed which is what fuels most of her actions as she is trying to protect her family and her killing Robert and her actions against Ned are also fueled by trauma from the rapes she has endured and by a desire to save herself and her children from an unjust execution which is enforced by the sexist laws of Westeros who say that a woman who cheats on her husband should be executed while him cheating on her is fine, is somehow "irredeemably evil" and she apparently desrves to be punished and apparently doesn't deserve a chance to change unlike Tyrion even though the two of them have both terrible things.
The way in which Cersei is judged for her actions even though a lot of fans would do them if they were in her place and they think she is "evil" and should be punished, while they give free pass to other characters who do equally horrible things (and sometimes for far less justifiable reason like with Tywin who has suffered FAR LESS than Cersei throughout his life and doesn't even have the excuse that he believes he and his children are going to die if he doesn't do what he does and doesn't have the excuse of being brought by someone like himself) and they don't think the characters they like are "evil" or should be punished for their actions is one of the biggest double standards I have seen.
This is a list of the terrible actions Tyrion has done:
Tyrion and Cersei have both done terrible things and they both have a lot of excuses for their actions as well as redeeming and sympathetic qualities, but fans only think one of them is "evil" and think that only one of them deserves sympathy and a chance to get better.
This is a list of Cersei's redeeming and sympathetic qualities for reference:
  1. When her son Joffrey dies, she breaks down over his corpse and cries and then she stays with his corpse and mourns it for days. At one point, she has a nice dream where Joffrey is still alive and she marries her brother, Jaime.
  2. She is angry when Tyrion sends her daughter, Myrcella, to Dorn without her permission and starts threatening him. She breaks down into tears when he mentions that if Myrcella stays, she could be killed in the coming battle. She is also shocked when she learns that Myrcella has lost one of her ears.
  3. In the fourth book she gets very protective of her son, Tommen, after the death of Joffrey. When Tommen chokes on his wine, she is afraid that someone had poisoned him, quickly stands up and goes to him to help. When she discovers that no one has poisoned him, she goes away and starts crying. During her imprisonment by the Faith Militant, she constantly thinks about her son and how she wants to go back to him. When she goes back to him, she starts spending a lot more time with him than ever before because she was relieved to see him again after her long imprisonment.
  4. At one point, she had a nightmare where Tyrion has tied her up. She begs him to spare her kids, even though in the dream her own life is in danger.
  5. She loves her father as she wants his respect, constantly thinks about what he would do and is sad when he dies.
  6. She loves her mother. She blames her younger brother, Tyrion, for "killing" her mother because this is what she saw from her father. She also mentions to Sansa that when she was a little girl she prayed to the Gods to give her mother back.
  1. At the age of 10, Cersei received a prophecy from Maggy that all of her kids would die, that a younger and more baeutiful queen would take everything she holds dear and then Cersei herself would be killed by her younger brother. Needless to say, this made Cersei very paranoid about her life and the lives of her children and made her even more abusive towards Tyrion because she believes that he is the younger brother from the prophecy. A lot of the crimes that are listed above are an attempt to prevent this prophecy from happening and saving her children and herself.
  2. Another aspect that makes her tragic is that her father, Tywin, was neglectful most of the time and he was a brutal ruler who taught his kids that they should be merciless, that they should care about morality only about the end results and so on. There is enough evidence that Cersei was seriously affecte by this upbringing. For example, on one occasion, while she is torturing the Blue Bard, she feels bad for him and wants to stop the torture. But then, she remembers that her father would probably be ashamed of her sign of weakness and he wouldn't do something like that, so she continues with the torture.
  3. She was married to Robert Baratheon, who cheated on her and abused her by sometimes even raping her which also has an affect on her because she feels powerless during the rapes and she doesn't want this to happen again.
  4. In the world of Westeros if it's discovered that she had cheated on her husband with Jaime, she and all of her kids would be executed. The reason why she kills Robert and Ned is because she wants to protect her life and the life of her kids from execution.
  5. In general, she has suffered from systematic sexism for most of her life starting from childhood where she and Jaime were treated differently because of their gender and Jaime was groomed to become the heir to Casterly Rock while she was groomed to be married off despite being older than her brother. When she was married to her husband, she also suffered from the sexism of her society because her husband was allowed to cheat on her while if she was caught cheating, she and her entire family would be executed. She was also raped because there was no definition of marital rape in Westeros.
  6. She suffers from a lot of insecurities (about being a woman, winning her father's approval, being fit to rule, etc.). She also has insecurities about not having any friends and she immediately decides to befriend the first woman she meets in the fourth book simply because she doesn't want to feel lonely.
submitted by Hot_Reach_7138 to jaimebrienne [link] [comments]


2024.06.02 17:37 sideswipe781 UFC Louisville: Cannonier v Imavov Full Card Betting Preview Sideswipe MMA

Lifetime - Staked: 921.15u, Profit/Loss: +14.81u, ROI: 1.61%, Parlay Suggestions: 177-69 Dog of the Week: 13-18, Picks: 8-3 (73% accuracy)
2024 - Staked: 274.05u, Profit/Loss: -18.55u
As always, scroll down for UFC Louisville Breakdowns. The following is just a recap of last event’s results.
~UFC 302 (PREVIOUS CARD)~
Staked: 12.5u
Profit/Loss: +7.64u
ROI: 61%
Parlay Suggestions: 3-0
Dog of the week: Cesar Almeida ❌
Picks: 8-3
Underwhelming card, but as expected it was a pretty easy one to predict. The favourites were mostly consistent, and most of the expected methods of victory landed. Nice profit made for once, but I think I had some fantastic reads on the card in spots that I didn’t bet. I said I expected Poirier to be competitive, and that Islam ITD wasn’t the lock people said it was. Matthews Decision was one I wanted to bet. I warned people that Hafez or Morono were the most likely bed-shitters. Basically, I think last week’s post would have been very useful to read.
✅ 2u Sean Strickland + Over 1.5 Rounds (-130) (won +1.54u)
✅ 2u Sean Strickland in R4, 5 or by Decision (+175) (won +3.5u) (accidentally edited this to 1u on the previous post, which wasn’t the intention. It’s was originally listed as 2u, and was tracked as such on my BetMMA record).
✅ 2u Kevin Holland + Grant Dawson (+110) (won 2.2u)
❌ 2u Cesar Almeida (+125)
❌ 1u Elizeu Zaleski dos Santos (+150)
✅ 2u Ailin Perez + Over 1.5 Rounds (-120) (won +1.66u)
✅ 1u Makhachev, Strickland, Holland, J. Almeida (+224) (won +2.24u)
❌ 0.5u Morono, Matthews, Hafez, Perez (+401)

~UFC Louisville~
Good to see more touring cards, and a slight step up in calibre from the usual Apex shit. Not a lot of spots I am confident in, I have to be honest…but I see a few underdogs that I’m sprinkling on.

~Jared Cannonier v Nassourdine Imavov~
Not another Nassourdine Imavov five rounder! I’m a fan of his skillset, but I think his cardio is suspect across 25 minutes, which ultimately makes his fights tricky to predict in spots like this. He’s not exactly a potent finisher, and I can’t trust him to win rounds four and five…so I think his path to victory is therefore limited by principal. A Nassourdine Imavov in a main event relies heavily on him winning R1, 2 and 3.
On the other side, Jared Cannonier is a guy I’ve never truly given the respect he deserves. A split decision win over Sean Strickland in a 25-minute fight is certainly impressive, as is the absolute beating he put on Marvin Vettori straight after* (* I believe Vettori has declined massively and is washed, so I won’t be going crazy in overreacting to that). Cannonier is a hard hitter, but he’s also gotten really comfortable in upping his volume across five round too, landing 141 and 241 significant strikes in those two aforementioned bouts respectively. The quantity didn’t dip in rounds 4 and 5 either, which is key considering my comments on Imavov’s cardio.
So I give Cannonier an advantage in R4 and 5, but what about across the other three? Well, the power advantage also goes to him, but the diversity with grappling and submission attempts falls with the Frenchman. Cannonier has started mixing takedowns into his game a bit more, which does present an opportunity for Imavov’s nasty front chokes…but other than that I’m not really sure where else I give Imavov a clear advantage outside of age and height. He’s the bigger fighter, but Cannonier is a strong dude and has looked just fine against other Middleweights (no one of Imavov’s size, to be fair).
Jared is now 40 years old, which is a bit of a dreaded number, which I think is the reasoning for this line being the way it is. People seem keen to blindly fade that age, regardless of whether it’s presented itself on tape. I see what they’re getting at, but Cannonier has put in two of his best performances of his career in his last two…I am not convinced it’s as simple as fading a 40 year old here.
So with that aside, I see far more merit to Cannonier’s side than Imavov’s, so the +100/-125 betting line feels off to me. I understand that Nassourdine just put in convincing performances against Roman Dolidze and Chris Curtis, but personally I think both of those fighters are a cut below Jared Cannonier (and I bet Nassourdine in both spots there). Cannonier would have looked good there too.
However, we have seen Imavov challenged against some of Middleweight’s common names, such as Sean Strickland and Joaquin Buckley…whilst Cannonier has looked good everywhere except against Izzy and Whittaker (he did drop a couple of rounds to Kelvin Gastelum, but it’s hardly raises alarm bells to me as Kelvin’s a tough guy to beat across 25 minutes of kickboxing).
I would personally make Cannonier the favourite here, anywhere between -125 and -150, and I assume the dreaded age of 40 is the reason for the odds here. I ask you this…if Jared Cannonier was 35, would the line be different? I believe it would be, and age is relative in MMA. It’s something to take seriously, of course, but I don’t think Cannonier even looked like he had started to decline in his most recent fight against Vettori last year.
I’ll be backing the underdog here at +100 or better. The line looks to be moving in Imavov’s favour so I will be patient.
How I line this fight: Jared Cannonier -137 (58%), Nassourdine Imavov +137 (42%)
Bet or pass: 1u Jared Cannonier to Win (+100 or better)
Prop leans: None
Live Betting Leans: If Cannonier looks to have won any of R1, 2, or 3 but is still a bettable price going into the championship rounds, I think he should be favoured to win those so could be a good entry in-play.

~Dominick Reyes v Dustin Jacoby~
This one should be fun for the live audience, but it’s an incredibly volatile fight for the bettors.
Very obvious to see why that’s the case for Dom Reyes – he’s got heaps of potential on a good day, but his chin is dust at this point. Seriously, he got knocked out cold by the jab of Ryan Spann. In a striking based fight at 205lbs, that’s all you need to know to decide that putting money on him is an uncomfortable idea.
Dustin Jacoby on the other hand is not the most potent finisher at Light Heavyweight, which immediately makes me think that Dustin isn’t the kind of guy you’d want to play executioner when he’s the favourite against someone with a flaw like Reyes’ chin. You want someone you can trust to put dudes to sleep in one punch – I don’t think that’s Jacoby (having gone the distance in seven of his 11 fights in this second UFC stint, and winning via leg kicks in one of the stoppages). Also, he’s not even particularly reliable to win rounds either, given that he was supposed to be the more technical fighter compared to Alonzo Menifield, Khalil Rountree, Azamat Murzakanov, and Maxim Grishin – where he was a moderate/big favourite every time, and never covered the price.
I still expect Jacoby to probably be the superior fighter across 15 minutes, but his -225 price tag definitely implies that a finish is expected by the oddsmakers…and I just have a whole lot less confidence that he lands it. From there, I also have less confidence that he’ll be the one winning rounds, given how easily he’s fumbled that in the past…so I just don’t see how you can have around 70% confidence in him winning here. Honestly I don’t really think Jacoby can ever justify that kind of pricetag at a UFC level when we have seen him shit the bed so many times.
On the other hand, I couldn’t trust Dominick Reyes’ chin to survive a strong gust of wind, so there’s no way I’d want to play him either. A very easy pass. I’ll pick Jacoby to win though, but I’d never bet him at this number.
In terms of thinking about props, I might be interested in looking at the Over 1.5 Rounds here, given that I disagree with the oddsmaker’s believe in Jacoby’s finishing ability. That’s going to be a horrible bet to sit through, so I’d probably need a decent price like +150 or better. We’ll see what they’re offering, but I doubt it’s that good.
How I line this fight: Dominick Reyes +175 (36%), Dustin Jacoby -175 (64%)
Bet or pass: Over 1.5 Rounds (+150 or better…no idea if that’s anywhere near what we’ll get)
Prop leans: See above

~Julian Marquez v Zach Reese~
Julian Marquez is a really fun fighter to watch, I’m glad to see him back inside the cage. He’s never been the most talented, but he’s a C+ at everything and has A grade heart. To beat him, you need to be clinical or vastly superior in one area, or Marquez might surprise you and turn the fight into a war of attrition.
Zach Reese is a 6-1 fighter that lost his debut Cody Brundage (I actually bet Brundage there, haha). Talk about fumbling the bag. He just seems like a classic DWCS fighter, who scores quick finishes against taxi drivers and then is suddenly expected to be diverse and talented enough to take on an actual trained professional that’s been competing against a much higher level for years. The difference between the regionals and the UFC has always been vast, and DWCS proves that time and time again.
Zach Reese’s longest fight time is 4 minutes and 13 seconds. He has literally never been in a fight that’s hit the second round. Julian Marquez, on the other hand, has gone longer than that in five of his 6 UFC appearances to date – and his opponents have all competed in the organisation at least five times. I genuinely think that tells you all you need to know.
And the craziest part is that Zach Reese ain’t even an inexperienced young gun. Him fumbling the debut wasn’t like Tom Nolan, a 24 year old kid that believed his own hype and got sloppy in his debut. Reese is THIRTY YEARS OLD.
The gulf in experience is massive, and the difference in age isn’t. I know Julian Marquez’s UFC record isn’t pretty at all, but how well do you think Zach Reese would fare if he faced the same opponents at the time Marquez did? I reckon he’d be 0-6.
Maybe I’m crazy, but Julian Marquez deserves better than to be a + money underdog against a literal regional opponent. Reese has tall man’s defence, he got tagged in both fights in DWCS/UFC and they were on the feet about 20 seconds combined. Yes he’s clearly got a great submission game on bottom, but Marquez has never been submitted, is a BJJ purple belt and has trained at decent camps before. He’s currently at the MMA Lab and has been training with Cannonier for this one.
I’ll be rolling the dice on the more proven fighter at +100.
How I line this fight: Julian Marquez -150 (60%), Zach Reese +150 (40%)
Bet or pass: 1u Julian Marquez to Win (+100)
Prop leans: None
Live Betting Leans: R1 finishers often have bad cardio, so if we get to the stool then Marquez is definitely worth a bet to turn the tide.

~Brunno Ferreira v Dustin Stoltzfus~
I can’t figure Dustin Stoltzfus out. He’s always presented himself as a good but one-dimensional grappler, judging by performances against high level competition such as Rodolpho Vieira and Gerald Meerschaert…but the way he showed up against Punahele Soriano made him look like a completely different guy. He was supposed to be easily outgunned on the feet there, but he looked seasoned and composed in the striking, and ultimately ended up getting a finish that I think very few people saw coming.
Brunno Ferreira is a super explosive Brazilian powerhouse that hasn’t gone past the halfway point in a fight yet. He throws heat and has that madman style, but his fights are so short I’ve no idea if he actually has any redeeming qualities from a technical or minute-winning perspective. As you probably know by now, my least favourite fighting style is ‘big strike go brrrr’. Ferreira has also had some bizarre results himself, pulling off a huge upset against Gregory Rodrigues, and then getting starched by Nursulton Ruziboev.
The only thing I know about Brunno is that he’ll go to war with an opponent that wants to meet him in the middle…I’ve no idea if Dustin Stoltzfus really wants to do that. He handled himself really well against a similar kind of style in Puna Soriano…but he’s also the same guy that got womped in under 20 seconds by Abus Magomedov.
To conclude, I think I could easily see Brunno Ferreira scoring an easy KO inside a couple of minutes, but I could also see this one looking way more competitive and close than the betting line suggests if Stoltzfus makes it to the stool. Lots of different possibilities, not a lot of confidence in any one outcome.
Brunno Ferreira kind of presents similar red flags to Zach Reese in the last breakdown. The difference between the two, and the reason I am fading Reese and not Brunno, is that I have confidence and knowledge that Marquez can handle that early chaos. I can’t say the same about Stoltzfus, so I won’t be taking a stab on him. Personally I think he’s absolutely the value side though, so if you’re someone who wants to bet every fight then absolutely take him.
I will also be picking him to win, but not because I think he does so 51% or more of the time…just because Ferreira is only known to have a limited path to victory that could easily fall apart.
How I line this fight: Such a volatile fight, I have no idea.
Bet or pass: Pass
Prop leans: None

~Punahele Soriano v Miguel Baeza~
Speak of the devil!
Punahele Soriano is so, so overrated. I have no idea how he’s even still in the UFC, or how he even got there in the first place. He was hyped up by Dana and the promo team as this scary and lethal striker….but then he pussy’d out and grappled his way to a decision win against Jamie Pickett on DWCS. Surprisingly they rewarded him with a contract (but didn’t want Brendan Loughnane!). Since then, lethal KO artist Puna has scored just three knockouts…but in the four fights he hasn’t, he’s looked like absolute shit. Getting schooled on the feet by Dustin Stoltzfus and Brendan Allen is a really bad look when you’re being advertised as a striker…and losing a decision to Nick Maximov isn’t a good look either!
To their credit, this fight against Miguel Baeza is a genius pairing by the UFC matchmakers though, because Baeza’s career has kind of panned out the same as Soriano’s. A hard hitting DWCS graduate, Baeza got off to a decent start with three consecutive finishes, most notably against Matt Brown. He stepped up the level of competition to face Santiago Ponzinibbio, which resulted in a life and death decision that he narrowly lost. Unfortunately, the losses snowballed dramatically as he was later KO’d by Khaos Williams and Andre Fialho. The latter result the most shocking, given that Fialho is dogshit. Baeza has since taken two years off…and everyone forgot he existed.
Apologies for taking two massive paragraphs to give you both men’s life stories, but it really does paint the picture of this fight from a betting perspective. Both men are overhyped KO artists - with one lacking in durability, and the other lacking in brain cells.
Puna is probably more likely to walk away with the KO win due to Baeza’s declining durability, but he’s also the more likely to get out-struck and styled on if this one turns into a longer distanced fight. Who wins that kind of fight? I have absolutely no idea. I’m just glad that one guy gets to stick around after this fight is over, because I’d be keen to fade both guys in the future.
I have little confidence so it counts for nothing, but I’ll pick Baeza simply because I like to fade finish-reliant fighters, and Miguel seems to be the more technical. His leg kick should work nicely here.
How I line this fight: Punahele Soriano +125 (45%), Miguel Baeza -125 (55%)
Bet or pass: Pass
Prop leans: None

~Raul Rosas Jr. vs Ricky Turcios~
I’ve copy/pasted my breakdown for this fight from the UFC Mexico event, and made some updated changes:
I’m still pretty gassed about hitting the fade on Raul Rosas Jr with Christian Rodriguez – definitely one of my favourite bets of 2023. I saw an untested 18 year old that was the beneficiary the UFC hype machine, and a then unknown opponent who had proven tricky to beat with the style Rosas Jr has. I saw it as a pick’em, and Rodriguez was +200. Easy bet to make.
In that fight, Rosas Jr kind of cardio-dumped and gave up once it was obvious that early finish wasn’t going to present itself, and that’s certainly a concern until we see him fight competently for 15 minutes at this level. I can think of countless UFC hype trains that hid their shocking minute winning ability behind dominant and exciting R1 finishes (Edmen Shahbazyan was my initial example, but since writing this Joe Pyfer has given another great recent example), and I therefore simply cannot trust Raul Rosas at this stage in his career when he’s still going to be sitting at -250 on the betting line due to his popularity.
Is Ricky Turcios worth the gamble as an underdog? I don’t really think so. He has been taken down seven and six times in two different UFC fights, has losses to Aimann Zahabi and Boston Salmon, and his wins were against Kevin Natividad and Brady Hiestand…which were both splits. The UFC are clearly treating this as a lay-up fight for Rosas Jr, but without feeding him a promotional newcomer or a fellow inexperienced guy. I don’t mean lay-up as if it’s a squash match, but it’s assumed that he SHOULD win here, instead of them throwing him to the wolves or making him go up against a fellow serious prospect.
Stylistically this one all revolves around the cardio for me, because I don’t think Turcios has what it takes to win this fight off the merit of his own skillset. He needs Rosas Jr. to gas out first, if he’s going to have any hope of having his way here. We have no way of knowing whether or not Rosas will gas, as it could have just been a one off and he’s so young that he could make the improvements quickly.
Personally, I’d be willing to give Rosas Jr the benefit of the doubt. The Rodriguez loss really should have opened his eyes, and it’s often the best thing for a young prospect to get that wake up call sometimes, as he was probably starting to believe his own hype. If the cardio is fixable, I assume he’s done all he can to fix it. He therefore deserves to be the favourite, but I won’t be betting on it.
How I line this fight: Raul Rosas Jr -200 (67%), Ricky Turcios +200 (33%)
Bet or pass: Pass
Prop leans: I was originally going to bet the Over 2.5 rounds, but I’ll pass on that now.

~Eduarda Moura v Denise Gomes~
Eduarda Moura’s UFC debut did not impress me at all. I didn’t bother researching her regional footage, and from what I saw in that debut she’s a size/weight bully that isn’t even that amazing at what she does. Yes she outgrappled and mauled that Mexican woman, but the size difference was comical and she couldn’t have found an easier opponent to beat if she tried.
I had one of my best bets of 2023 on Denise Gomes’ last fight against Angela Hill (big up Angie for winning a couple of weeks ago, she’s such a money train for me), opting to fade the scary finishing ability of a WMMA fighter for a more technical and historically durable veteran on the return. Not only did Angie school her, she even managed to mix in some grappling to make the win even more stylish. That gets the alarm bells ringing here, as Moura’s MO is definitely to grapple, and Angie’s no grappler.
I don’t have a strong opinion on this one, because both women give me very strong fraud vibes. I think Moura is absolutely going to be one to fade in the future, and Gomes has already been faded in the past. Personally I don’t think the equally limited Denise Gomes is the woman to give Moura her first L, because stylistically this looks like a tricky fight for her. Fingers crossed Moura wins and the fade opportunity is live next time. It’s an easy pass for me.
How I line this fight: No idea, they’re both frauds
Bet or pass: Pass
Prop leans: None

~Puja Tomar v Rayanne Amanda (dos Santos)~
Some people believe in the narrative that you should try and fade Indian fighters. That worked pretty well last time Jeka Sarragih fought!
I bet on Rayanne dos Santos in her UFC debut, and she lost a split to an inexperienced opponent with bad cardio. I was impressed with her striking in Invicta, but she struggled to do anything meaningful stuff in that UFC debut. By the looks of the early line I’m seeing, she’s about -180 here. Who the hell is going to bet that!?
I obviously know nothing about Puja, but her record shows she’s fought two serious opponents. You know I love WMMA more than anyone else, but I have absolutely no interest in doing tape for this one. Pass.
How I line this fight: No idea
Bet or pass: Pass
Prop leans: None

~Cody Stamann v Taylor Lapilus~
Very disappointed by the betting line here. When a fight like this gets announced, I immediately get excited because I think there’s a chance the books might get caught out and give a very bettable price on a fight that seems close on paper, but should be quite one-sided in reality, due to the stylistics.
Taylor Lapilus deserves to be -200 here, maybe even steeper. Reason being, he’s great where Stamann is average, but he’s also good where Stamann is good. The Frenchman is a slick striker that should certainly be expected to land the more eye-catching shots, when compared to Stamann’s T-Rex boxing. He will enjoy a 9-inch reach advantage, and should just be able to hit and not get hit. Stamann barely has any power either, so even if he does land a punch for every two he absorbs, I doubt it’s going to do much to convince the judges to credit him as the round winner.
Cody Stamann has veered away from his wrestling roots in recent fights, but you’d think it would serve him well here, given the reach and technical disadvantage he will find himself at. Whilst this would be true against another opponent, Taylor Lapilus has a very good anti-grappling game. His takedown defence is good, but even when he does get floored he works hard and effectively to get back to his feet, or at the very least nullify his opponent. His most recent fight was an exception to that as Farid Basharat made light work of him…but that was a very impressive performance that I don’t think many could replicate.
So in summary, I think Stamann is going to be shut out here, and I don’t think he’s going to really be able to find success anywhere in this fight. He will either stand at distance and clearly get outstruck by the fighter with the better footwork that will keep him at range…or he attempts to wrestle and likely has little luck at finding any real success. At the very least, the success he does have probably won’t be enough to erase the striking deficit he’s already accrued.
On a more narrative based note, Stamann also appears to have regressed a fair bit in recent years. He was once a gatekeeper to the top 15, drawing with the likes of Song Yadong and even winning a round against Merab…but since then losing decisions to 37-year-old Douglas Silva de Andrade and winning questionable decisions against Luan Lacerda. I’d say this is a tricky fight for Stamann in his prime, but Cody’s trending downwards too.
As I said in the opening paragraph, I’m disappointed that the books didn’t offer a better price on Lapilus, and I’m interested to see if money comes in on Cody still. Personally I’d be happy to bet Lapilus at -175 or better, but I’d need the line to improve slightly before I could play it. I might parlay him with someone on next week’s card once I get further down the line researching it.
How I line this fight: Cody Stamann +225 (31%), Taylor Lapilus -225 (69%)
Bet or pass: No bet, for now.
Prop leans: None

~Brad Katona v Jesse Butler~
The less time spent talking about this one, the better. Brad Katona is possibly the least intimidating MMA fighter to have ever graced the UFC, both in the way he fights, and his demeanour. The former is more important, because he can sometimes struggle to win rounds because he’s outgunned most of the time. He needs to put on a perfect defensive display to win striking fights, because if he gets wobbled he probably can’t get the round back.
Jesse Butler is a can with about as much of a right to be on the UFC’s roster as I do. He has no striking ability, as seen in his 23 second KO MASSACRE at the hands of 40-year-old Jim Miller (one of my favourite KOs of 2023 that one, definitely recommend if you didn’t see it!). That lack of striking ability, both offensively and defensively, means that he is very unlikely to get the better of a good point fighter like Brad Katona. But everyone has a puncher’s chance.
Katona is nearly -600 here. Mostly justified, but also eye-wateringly steep at the exact same time when you consider Katona’s path to victory is almost exclusively by decision! Pass.
How I line this fight: Brad Katona -400 (80%), Jesse Butler +400 (20%)
Bet or pass: Pass
Prop leans: Me to fall asleep watching this one (+200 or better)

~Ludovit Klein v Thiago Moises~
Two guys I have historically had a very tricky time analysing. I was high on Klein when he made his debut, then I turned my back on him after the losses to Trizano and Landwehr – and since then he’s been pulling off upsets and continuing to prove he was worth the hype he entered the UFC with. The dude has some of the best high kicks I’ve ever seen from a fighter.
Thiago Moises has always been credentialed and talented, but he’s failed to deliver on the promises his abilities make on paper. Moises is capable of taking fighters down and submitting them early, but it’s genuinely taken nine UFC fights for him to actually go out there and do that. And then he did it twice in a row (against Giagos and Melq Costa).
So I think that does a good job of explaining why I am going to be non-committal and just leave this fight alone. Klein is great when he’s on form, but he’s shown himself to be capable of dropping the ball in fights he really should win. He’s proven himself to be a guy that you back as an underdog, but avoid as a favourite. He’s barely either here, but he does have a minus next to his name.
Moises is also too inconsistent to trust either. I think there’s a chance that this could be a winnable fight for him, as his grappling will definitely be superior if he can force things to the floor. That sounds like a great opportunity for a +100 fighter…but Moises definitely won’t look that number if he decides to stand and trade – and his 1.64 takedowns landed per 15 minutes statistic is enough to assume he won’t.
The oddsmakers are right in lining this one close, because both men have very legitimate paths to victory with only a few small factors landing in their favour. I’d argue that Klein is the rightful favourite (and therefore my pick) due to all fights starting standing and Moises’ track record…but this is a close one.
How I line this fight: Ludovit Klein -125 (55%), Thiago Moises +125 (45%)
Bet or pass: Pass
Prop leans: None

~Charles Radtke v Carlos Prates~
If you’re a regular reader of my posts, you may know that historically I am someone who genuinely thinks Trevin Giles has some redeeming qualities. In fact, I claimed in his recent fight against Carlos Prates that the line was wide, and that Giles may be able to find a way to have some success. Having watched that fight back, I think I was justified to feel that way.
I liked what I saw from Prates on DWCS, with the way he mixed up volume, pressure and power…but ultimately that performance against Giles was a bit concerning. He definitely lost round one, and by the end of the fight he was outstruck almost two to one. Of course, he won via KO…but to expect a fighter to be bailed out by their raw power every time is a bit foolish.
Charles Radtke is ironically a fighter I’ve had nothing but bad things to say about. I slated his debut win against Mike Mathetha (the artist formally known as Blood Diamond), and tried to fade him when he faced Gilbert Urbina. Boy did he look great in that sophomore appearance, I was really impressed. His striking just seemed so tight, accurate and crisp, I couldn’t believe how easily he pieced up Urbina.
I’m obviously not super confident in my analysis here, simply due to the lack of tape we have on both guys…but I don’t really understand what we are supposed to have seen from Prates to justify a -200 pricetag? He was struggling against Giles, and had he not landed the precise punch that ended things…he could easily have lost that one! I get that he has a big size advantage…but Urbina was taller and Radtke approached the striking gameplan perfectly. He also has Belal Muhammad in his corner (or at least he did vs Urbina), who I rate as a pretty intelligent fighter.
This one feel like it could develop into a very competitive fight, and the finishing ability is strong on either side. Radtke has also shown a diverse game and an ability to mix in grappling when necessary, which could serve him well here. For those reasons, I’m happy to roll the dice on yet another underdog here, and back Charles Radtke for 1u at +150 or better. I’ll be waiting a little bit to see what the initial line movement does.
How I line this fight: Charles Radtke +100 (50%), Carlos Prates +100 (50%)
Bet or pass: 1u Charles Radtke to Win (+150 or better)
Prop leans: None

~Daniel Marcos v John Castaneda~
I’m quite high on Daniel Marcos. I just think he’s a really talented striker. I bet him heavily against Aoriqileng, and were it not for the unfortunate NC, I think that would have looked like a really smart bet (not the only time that’s even happened to me this year…thanks Piera Rodriguez). People still hate on him for potentially getting a robbery over Davey Grant…but Grant is a very tricky guy to look good against at the best of times. The likes of Jonathan Martinez, Adrian Yanez, and even Marlon Vera have all struggled to decisively beat Davey.
John Castaneda is certainly the more well-rounded martial artist here, as the way he’s mixed takedowns into his game has been really intelligent. He’s also shown much more dangerousness than Marcos, landing a knockdown in four of his six UFC performances, and even scoring a submission win over Miles Johns.
For as long as this one stays standing, I think it’s a close fight that’s hard to call. Whilst I give a slight minute winning edge to Marcos for his higher level of technicality to his striking, I think Castaneda’s power can be a great equaliser, as can his ability to mix in takedowns. I’ve not seen much of Marcos’ anti-grappling to believe he can fend off a takedown threat if Castaneda wants to force things there.
So yeah, a non-committal breakdown but I think this is a close fight to call. There certainly isn’t any betting value to a fight this close anyway. I’ll pick Castaneda and give him the slight edge on the betting line for his diversity and finishing upside.
How I line this fight: John Castaneda -125 (55%), Daniel Marcos +125 (45%)
Bet or pass: Pass
Prop leans: None

~Andrea Lee v Montana De La Rosa~
It’s always tricky to navigate the fade when you see a fighter with a glaring deficiency that keeps taking losses. Andrea Lee is on a sharp downwards slope – she’s 35 years old, she cannot stop takedowns, and she’s got a 3-7 record in decisions in the UFC. Those are some pretty damning facts, but what’s worse is that Lee’s decline is really showing in her performances. I confidently bet Miranda Maverick against her at near pick’em due to her grappling superiority, but I was very surprised to see Maverick actually clearly outrstriking Lee across 15 minutes. That was a terrible look because Maverick’s striking really has never looked good. That should not have happened.
The reason I began by saying that it’s difficult fading a fighter in Lee’s position, is because there comes a time where the calibre of opponent clearly takes a downwards step. I’ve always been a big believer in Miranda Maverick, and I believe she’s top 10 in the division, so trusting her to feast on Andrea Lee’s carcass was easy. This time however, we’re being asked to trust Montana De La Rosa, a clearly inferior fighter, to do the same. Historically, Lee is certainly a cut above her, and Lee’s 30-27 victory over MDLR in 2019 demonstrated that perfectly.
Montana’s not bad bad, she’s just lacking in physicality to really be able to get her game going. She’s definitely a grappler, but a 31% takedown accuracy and poor top control means that she struggles to really find openings to do her best work...so she just kind of survives in fights if she can’t grapple you. Just looking through her UFC fights and it’s so obvious where her calibre lies…none of the girls she’s beaten apart from Ariane Lipski have been in the UFC for years, and even some of the names she’s beaten aren’t super elite either. And back when she fought Lipski, the Brazilian had some of the worst anti-grappling we’d seen in WMMA.
So this is clearly one of those fights where my predictions and probabilities for the fight weigh more on how either woman loses, as opposed to how they win. Right off the bat, that’s an awful premise to be considering a bet, so I can easily tell you this is one to avoid…and I haven’t even looked at the betting line yet.
Yep, Andrea lee sits around -130. I expected exactly that, as it’s a coin-toss as to which woman is inferior, but history is worth something and Lee does have a win over her opponent here. I guess Andrea Lee is the pick because MDLR already landed five takedowns the first time and did fuck all with them, but I have little to no confidence here. I’m sure no one is even reading this far into the breakdown because no one even cares about WMMA like I do. It’s a pass. I'll keep an eye out for Lee by Decision, assuming it's around the +200 mark.
How I line this fight: Andrea Lee -150 (60%), Montana De La Rosa +150 (40%)
Bet or pass: Pass
Prop leans: None

Bets (Bold = been placed)
1u Jared Cannonier to Win (+100 or better)
1u Jacoby v Reyes Over 1.5 Rounds (+150 or better….I could be way off the mark there)
1u Julian Marquez to Win (+100)
1u Charles Radtke to Win (+150 or better)
1u Andrea Lee to Win by Decision (+200 or better...might not get anywhere near that number, idk)

Parlay Pieces: Julian Marquez, Taylor Lapilus
Dog of the Week: Jared Cannonier
Picks: Jared Cannonier, Dustin Jacoby, Julian Marquez, Dustin Stoltzfus, Miguel Baeza, Raul Rosas Jr, Denise Gomes, Taylor Lapilus, Brad Katona, Moises/Klein, Radtke/Prates, Marcos/Castaneda, Andrea Lee
submitted by sideswipe781 to MMAbetting [link] [comments]


2024.06.02 17:30 CherokeePilot1997 I’m really starting to believe that I was a WWII Pilot in a past life

I’ve been hesitant to post this anywhere or talk about it with anyone save for my closest friends and family members, but I thought you all here might appreciate it.
Ever since I was literally a baby, I’ve been drawn to airplanes. My mom says that, when I was less than a year old, I would reach for stuffed airplanes in the store, and refuse to let go once she finally gave them to me. I also “chose” a baby swing shaped like an airplane, and it was in this that I said my second word after mama: “airpwane.”
This soon began to intersect with an inextricable attraction to WWII. At two or three years old, my mom says that, as she was flipping through channels to get to Bob the Builder, I’d scream when she passed the History Channel, demand to watch, and then sit enraptured in front of WWII documentaries (keep in mind, this is when that channel covered actual history). Specifically, I was interested in WWII aviation, especially U.S. naval aviation. I had a huge coffee-table book with a painting of the Battle of Midway, and I would apparently sit for hours and just stare at it.
That interest continued all through my childhood — I refused to play with anything but toy models of WWII aircraft, constantly scribbled aircraft carrier battle scenes in my notebooks, flew in a WWII B-17 at 7, read untold dozens of books on the subject, went to air shows, and at one point, met with WWII pilots at one of those events. My dad left me alone with them and came back some time later to find me talking with them about things that I could have barely known — for example, how the visibility out the back of a certain plane’s cockpit was hampered by the light conditions at certain altitudes and times of day. I also distinctly remember begging my grandpa to order me large diecast model of the USS Intrepid aircraft carrier; when it arrived, I tried to remove some of the small molded plastic aircraft from the flight deck, inexplicably drawn to the tiny versions of one plane — the Grumman Avenger torpedo bomber.
I went on to start flying real planes at 12, get my pilot’s license at 17, and join U.S Navy ROTC to become a Naval Aviator. Throughout my training, my instructors would comment that I just seemed to “know” what I was doing, and the word “natural” was used frequently — I say this not to brag, but just to note that it was through absolutely no skill of my own.
Okay, nothing super unusual about that, right? Lots of kids like airplanes and many people are interested in the Second World War. Here’s the part that nags at me.
For a long, long time — probably even before I had that interest in WWII — I’ve been having a recurring dream of what I now think may have been my past life. It’s incredibly vivid, and completely unlike any scene I’ve ever come across in a WWII movie, documentary, etc. I’ve been having it once or twice a quarter for years, and it’s exactly the same every time.
In it, I’m flying a Grumman TBF Avenger (https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/Grumman_TBF_Avenger) over the ocean. It is dusk, and clearly a Pacific sunset — the colors are rich reds and oranges, and the sun is slanting through billowing clouds in a way that I’d never, ever seen in my real life…..until I visited Hawaii at age 21. I clearly recognize the cockpit of the Avenger from its distinctive greenhouse window bracing, and its unique trapezoidal instrument panel. I look out at the right wing, and it’s full of holes and streaming a white fuel leak; meanwhile, I can clearly hear the radial engine running rough as it dies — backfiring, coughing, spluttering. I call to my crewmen over the intercom — Avenger had a three-man crew — but there is no response. Either the intercom is dead, or they are.
I know that I won’t be in the air much longer and have to ditch. My hands fly over the cockpit in well-trained fashion — I can distinctly feel the grip as I reach above and unlatch the canopy in preparation for ditching. I’m scared but confident as I guide my plane down toward the water, flare, and stall it into a light swell. The plane skips once back into the air, then makes a loud SSSSSSSHHHHHH sound as settles into the water. Although I know that Avengers are known for floating well after ditching thanks to their large wings and fuselage, mine are full of holes, and I know that I don’t have much time. Even as I unstrap my safety harness, I feel the huge engine up front start to pull the plane forward. As the aircraft tilts up and begins to sink nose-first, I reach above me to pull back the canopy, which I had previously unlatched.
However, the force of the impact must have jammed it shut. I reach up and try to wrench it back, but it doesn’t budge. As the water begins to cover the cockpit windshield, I start to feel a raw animal panic. I scream as tear desperately at the canopy release, but with a sickening lurch, I feel the plane yield to gravity and begin its final descent. At that moment, I wake up, often bolt upright and covered in sweat.
Now, I know that this sounds a lot like the case of James Leininger (https://abcnews.go.com/GMA/Books/page?id=7760166), but I had truly never heard of the story until I woke up soaked one night in 2020 and googled “WWII pilot past life.” The similarities are eerie. I’m a very skeptical person, but I’m beginning to think that a past version of me flew an Avenger and died in the Pacific circa 1944. Curious to hear your thoughts!
submitted by CherokeePilot1997 to pastlives [link] [comments]


2024.06.02 17:29 gudataama Do you guys want to build a team today as a community? I’ll get/train all of the mons—to the best of my ability—and make a rental code.

If there’s a better system than this, please propose it, but here’s what I’m thinking:
Top level comments—ones related to the team anyways, feel free to comment other stuff as well—should be a restricted with item/EV spread/move-set. Replies should be the second mon, again with items/spread/move-set. Replies to the second mon should be the third mon; you get the picture. If you want to include your reasoning behind your selection, go for it; I’d actually love to see it.
Also, you can only contribute one mon per team. If the highest upvoted chain has one person commenting 2+ mons, I’m building the next most upvoted team with 6 different contributors.
I’ll check back tomorrow and start cooking up whatever monstrosity this sub comes up with. But as a disclaimer, I’m not making a team with, say, wingull and magikarp; it has to be at least somewhat reasonable. That said, feel free to make it wacky as hell.
It might not be perfect, and it will probably take me a few days to finish it up. For example, I’m going to have a ton of trouble getting a Calyrex with 0 spe or atk IVs, but I’ll do what I can. Just keep that in mind when you’re adding to a team—easier mons will make it more likely that the team completely resembles the comments.
submitted by gudataama to VGC [link] [comments]


2024.06.02 17:28 AccomplishedDig1558 Perfectionism in Homeschool

Hello, I am a 16-year-old homeschooled student struggling with perfectionism and procrastination. I've always been afraid of being stupid and outwardly appearing so, and I might be taking my school work too seriously to the point of burnout and self-loathing.
My greatest opponent in school is the essay. I love to write, although I suck at it and I can spend up to a week hunched over my computer erasing and typing and never feeling satisfied with what I write. I either articulate my thoughts with substantial vocabulary but lack artistic balance and flow, or my writing is too flowery and my ideas elusive and watery. Sometimes I cave, and I search my essay prompt online, just to find written examples of the barest, most intellectually deprived pieces of writing which makes me question whether I should be beating myself up over ugly prose.
While my grades all stand at As, my obsession with good writing is affecting my mental health and education. I'm even struggling to post this comment because it sucks.
submitted by AccomplishedDig1558 to homeschool [link] [comments]


2024.06.02 17:12 Mr-Fable C&C Generals: Solution to alt+tab crashing WHILE keeping "cursor edge-scrolling" enabled (no GenTool required)

Not sure if anyone has posted a guide for this before, but I couldn't find one anywhere online other than a hard to find YouTube video, so figured I'd post here. Thanks to E3gaming as well as mrehh1906 in the YT comments for suggesting the custom resolution method.
Preface: By and large it seems the most common suggestion to fix alt+tab crashing while in fullscreen mode is to instead put the game in borderless "fullscreen" window mode via GenTool. As the CNC Community website says (Step 4), this method has a drawback: "Note: Playing in borderless fullscreen will disable cursor edge-scrolling." This means you'll have to either use the arrow keys or right-click + drag to scroll the camera, both of which aren't ideal imo.
TLDSolution: There is an alternative method that prevents alt+tab crashes while also keeping cursor edge-scrolling enabled.
The key is setting your desktop's display resolution to be either slightly lower or higher than the game's resolution, and play the game in fullscreen mode instead of windowed.
So for example, if your monitor is 1920 x 1080, and you want Generals also at 1920 x 1080 (such as by setting it to that in the Options.ini), you can set your desktop resolution to be something lower, like for example 1920 x 1079. I recommend creating a custom resolution like this, lower by one pixel, since that way you can just always have your monitor set to it and it won't be noticeable at all. However, you could also just use one of the preset lowehigher resolutions, like 1680 x 1050 or 1920 x 1200.
You can create custom resolutions for NVIDIA GPUs using the NVIDIA control panel:
  1. Go to "Change resolution", and press the "Customize..." button, specify your new resolution (again I recommend simply changing it by a single pixel) and make sure to save.
  2. If the "Customize..." button is greyed out make sure you have "DSR - Factors" set to off in the "Mange 3D settings" section, it should then un-grey the button.
    1. Select your new custom resolution using the Windows "display settings" menu (note if you have multiple monitors you only need to set this new custom resolution for the monitor you play the game on, the others can stay as they are).
    2. For AMD I am not sure what the equivalent control program is (if anyone knows please comment).
  3. Alternatively you can also just set your resolution to a preset, as long as it's lower or higher than the resolution you set for the game (such as for, example, 1680 x 1050 or 1920 x 1200 if your monitor is a 1920 x 1080)
Benefits of this approach over the CNC Community one:
I have no clue why this works, perhaps someone more computer savvy can chime in, hope this helps others.
submitted by Mr-Fable to commandandconquer [link] [comments]


2024.06.02 17:11 Lu_Chan_1 Many companies joined the efforts to encourage everyone to vote in the #EUelections2024. Find below some examples and learn how to get involved in the first comment. ⬇️

Many companies joined the efforts to encourage everyone to vote in the #EUelections2024. Find below some examples and learn how to get involved in the first comment. ⬇️ submitted by Lu_Chan_1 to europeanparliament [link] [comments]


2024.06.02 17:07 AutoLovepon Tensei Kizoku, Kantei Skill de Nariagaru • As a Reincarnated Aristocrat, I'll Use My Appraisal Skill to Rise in the World - Episode 9 discussion

Tensei Kizoku, Kantei Skill de Nariagaru, episode 9
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submitted by AutoLovepon to anime [link] [comments]


2024.06.02 17:03 ppchampagne The majority of young American women are more hypergamous than we should expect

The majority of young American women are more hypergamous than we should expect
This is the most accurate and colorful assessment of hypergamy to date. If you can find a better write-up about hypergamy for free, donate to that person. The TLDR is: just follow the pictures.

In the general population, the majority of women are married to men or living with boyfriends with higher incomes than their own. This is a form of hypergamy.
Let's look at heterosexual couples with women ages 18-34 from 2019-2023 in the US. These couples live together, but are not married and have no children – boyfriends and girlfriends.
Income data from 3,500 couples all over the US. This balance is similar to the general population. This excludes the top 1% of earners.
Women generally earn less than what men earn, so we shouldn't be surprised to find some level of hypergamy in relationships. The question is, how much hypergamy is more than what we should expect? Keep those words in mind, "more than what we should expect." They're essential to the rest of this.
To answer this question, we go to Census survey data to find our target population, made up of 3,500 couples. On average, these women earned 70-75% of what their boyfriends earned.
We choose younger women (18-34) because as a group, these Americans are the "freest" and most empowered women the world has ever known. It would be difficult to argue that these women hadn't been "free" to choose their men. So was income a factor in their choices?
To find out, we're going to do an experiment. We take 1,200 of the women from these couples (see footnotes) and break them up. Then we're going to put them back on the hookup scene dating market to find new boyfriends among 16,000 potential suitors in total from the general pop.
Here are the requirements for their new boyfriends.
  • unmarried and childless
  • within the age range she is likely to date (and over 18)
  • same race/ethnicity as her old boyfriend
  • same level of education as herself
  • living in the same type of area, urban vs rural
  • living in the same US county (same area of state)
These women are going to look for new boyfriends without considering the incomes of the men they meet, but they have to choose a man with the same characteristics as their old boyfriend, except for his exact age and education (see footnotes).
Here's what the earnings balance looks like after they're all paired up with new boos.
earnings balance we should expect without intentional hypergamy
We took each woman, matched her up with her potential new boyfriends and found the median (midpoint) of the men's incomes. We called that the income of her new boyfriend. So we get a new balance in the population with more women who outearn boyfriends.
This is what we expect when women aren't paying attention to income when pairing. Think of this as the minimum level of hypergamy. By the calculations, in reality:
  • There are 42% more hypergamous relationships than we should expect.
  • There's less than a 5% chance that the hypergamous women hadn't been intentionally hypergamous in choosing their old boyfriends.
Now let's compare the old boyfriends to the new ones. How much more or less do they make compared to each other? In other words, how much more or less hypergamous are the women?
54% of women are more hypergamous than we should expect, 31% are less. 15% are as hypergamous as we should expect.
  • 15% of women were as hypergamous as we should expect in their old relationships. The difference between their old and new boyfriend's incomes was no more or less than about 5%.
  • 31% of women were less hypergamous than our expectations. The new boyfriend earned more than the old one.
  • 54% of women were more hypergamous than our expectations. The new boyfriend earned less than the old one.
  • Again, there's less than a 5% chance that this is coincidental. Just over half of all women in our demographic are more hypergamous than we should expect.
Let's look at the income differences between the women and their old boyfriends, split by how hypergamous those women are.
Each line represents a girlfriend hypergamy level. Each point represents how much more their boyfriends made compared to themselves. Negative amounts mean women outearned boyfriends in those relationships.
  • For the more hypergamous women, half of their old boyfriends outearned them by at least $30K. The top quarter outearn them by at least $63K.
  • For women who are as hypergamous as expected, half of their old boyfriends outearned them by at least $4K. The top quarter of their boyfriends outearned them by at least $22K.
  • The least hypergamous women outearned half of their boyfriends by at least $10K. The top quarter of their boyfriends outearned them by at least $3K.
It's important to note that a woman could still outearn her old boyfriend even though she is more hypergamous than we expect. This is because for that man's demographic, he earns more than the typical man. So his girlfriend is still more hypergamous than we expect her to be in choosing from that demographic.
As an example, the woman in the relationship could be the head of a successful company with an income of $300K annually. Her boyfriend is a lawyer making $200K, but other similar men in his demographic typically earn $60K. So given the demographic of men the woman chooses from, she is more hypergamous than we expect. She seeks the higher earning man in that demographic.
The initial earnings balance of our target population was similar to the general population. However, our target pop. is more college-educated, more white and less black than the US as a whole. It's also much more urban. This is because of the demographic we chose – women living with boyfriends, who are childless.
The most common woman in our data are white American women, ages 18-34, who have at least a high school diploma, and live in urban areas. But the pattern is almost always the same no matter how we subdivide these women. More hypergamous women are the most common. Less hypergamous women are second most common. And women who are as hypergamous as we expect are the least common. It would be highly unlikely for this to be a coincidence.
Here's what our population looked like.
MS+ are those with master's or higher degrees. BA – bachelor's degree. HS/AS – high school diploma or associate's. No HS – no high school diploma.
hypergamy levels by environment
hypergamy levels by \"race/ethnicity\"

I'll end with this recent quote from youtube commenter Caitlin Pawlowski.
I think it really comes down to, in a nutshell, a lot of women would rather be single than be with someone who they don't deem to be equal to them. And I think a lot of women would rather be single than to be with someone who they feel adds no value to their life.
...
I do think that is a common question that women are finding harder and harder to answer about a lot of the men they come in contact with.
Food for thought.

Footnotes
  • Our sample population of 1,200 women were the ones with the most complete data. Note that as we went from the general population to our target pop. to our sample pop., all of the earnings balances were consistent from one to the next. Our sample pop. had a bit more women outearning men than the general pop. In other words, the sample is more or less random.
  • Education is tricky. Income and education are related. Hypergamy can be based on either one. But education isn't purely about income. It relates to other things like social group and interests. If we factor-in a woman's boyfriend's education, that can make the search about his income bracket. If we don't, we neglect the other characteristics related to education. So as a compromise, we required the women to look for men who had their own same level of education.
  • All dollars were adjusted for inflation to equal 2022 dollars.
Related Posts
Entire pop. income differences between men and women in relationships
submitted by ppchampagne to itsthatbad [link] [comments]


2024.06.02 17:01 AdamLuyan 11.4.5 Sense Node

11.4.5 Sense Node
Sense is heart, has three significances: clear discernment is named as sense; mean and measurement are named as intention; Aggregate Arousal is named as heart. Aggregate Arousal has three significances again: first, heart can aggregate and storage juristic seeds; second, heart is those juristic seeds being aggregated; thirdly, juristic seeds grow by fumigation, and heart can arouse ripened seeds into performances, has them become bodily orally and intentionally behaviors currently. See section 14.1 for more explanation of Aggregate Arousal.
Among Buddhist 100 laws, there are eight positions of sense laws totally, namely, (1) eye-sense, (2) ear-sense, (3) nose-sense, (4) tongue-sense, (5) body-sense, (6) intent-sense, (7) preconscious-ness, and (8) unconsciousness. The seventh pre-consciousness is the mobile working platform of the former six senses. The eighth unconsciousness is the total root of the former seven senses, also known as the fundamental sense. The sixth Intent-sense, i.e., consciousness, in daily life usually includes the preconscious and the unconscious. The Sense Node is the sum of the karmic accumulations of the former six senses.

11.4.5-1 Differentiations of the Eight Senses

(1) eye-sense, which is the seeing of seeing colors. (2) ear-sense, which is the hearing of hearing sounds. (3) nose-sense, which is the smelling of smelling fragrances. (4) tongue-sense, which is the tasting of tasting tastes. (5) body-sense, that is, the feeling of feeling touches. (6) intent-sense, which is the know of knowing laws. The six senses are exactly seeing, hearing, smelling, tasting, feeling, and knowing; and they also have the name of six feelings.
(7) preconscious-ness, is called Mana-sense in Buddhism, and Eve-sense in Godly religions. Ancients said that it is subtle and difficult to distinguish, so they use its major companion "Intent" to represent it. Therefore, we call Preconscious-ness as Intent in Buddhism. Preconscious-ness is root for six former senses, is ever updating work platform of heart (i.e., mind), which is constantly updating itself with the change of intention.
https://preview.redd.it/acvirv9ha64d1.jpg?width=1213&format=pjpg&auto=webp&s=83e46dfcc8c986f124a7f10caa573e0f0e8951af
Ancient people often used "measuring worm" (see fig. 11.4.5.1-1) to describe the behavioral characteristics of preconscious-ness. When the measuring worm moves, the back feet are always grasping something; the front feet are looking for a place to land, as if pondering. After the front feet have grasped something, the back feet follow. The behavior of preconscious-ness is very similar to that, preconscious-ness is also always grasping something, and looking around, pondering. When it discovers and moves to a new target, it renews its attachment, and then searches for a new target to move on to. The preconscious attachment, which has the function of internal along-thoughts ego, was called Abel by the ancient Egyptians, and Quetzalcoatl by ancient Mexicans. The attachment that Eve-sense's hold is the precedingly faded thoughts, and that belongs to Adam-sense (i.e., the contaminated part of the unconscious).
Because of the above characteristics of Eve-sense, the ancient Egyptians used the breastfeeding of Abel to indicate that the woman is Eve (see Figure 11.4.5.1-2). Eve's neatly arranged pattern (motif) hair in the figure represents “500 majesties 108,000 charms” (cf. section 16.2), which is the woman's skin that God coated on Eve. Figure 3 shows the ancient Mexican Eve, Chalchiuhtlicue, who also signaled her status as Eve by breastfeeding Quetzalcoatl. The tree she is facing is her Enlightenment Tree that grows from her Ollin Heart (i.e., bodhicitta, the oath she took when she was child).
In addition, preconsciousness has a promoting effect on the formation of language, so the ancients also call it as Escalatory Language Feeler, meaning that preconsciousness has escalatory function on language.
(8) The greatest characteristic of the unconscious is mutably mature. Mutable matureness means that the seeds in the unconscious are ripened by fumigation and mutation. Mutation is ripening because mutation is capable of holding karma. Here is a brief description of the unconscious in the words of a poem by Tang Tripitaka, “Receiving the fumigation, holding the seeds, it is the root, the body, and the vessel world (i.e., the material world); leaving later, coming first, being the non-lord executive.”
https://preview.redd.it/ycle4fdka64d1.jpg?width=2020&format=pjpg&auto=webp&s=3bfbeef1e7f5075f0b0ef32603a9c388677758bb

11.4.5-2 Correspondences between Eight Senses and Nine Heartlands

Nose-sense and tongue-sense exist only in Desire Boundary (Fig 11.4.5-2-23). Eye-sense, ear-sense, and body-sense exist in the Five Interests Mixed Dwell Land (Fig. 23) and the Leave Producing Laugh Land (Figure 24). The former five senses are absent in the third land (Fig. 25) and above. The sixth and seventh sense are prevalent in all the three boundaries nine lands, except for the Thoughtless Retribution and the Longevity Sky. The eighth sense, unconsciousness, prevails in all the three boundaries nine heartlands.

11.4.5-3 Correspondences between Eight Senses and Environments

The 8 senses have 3 kinds of objective environments, namely, nature environment, solitary head environment, and qualitative environment.
I) Nature Environment, which environment has its own nature, has factual function, is what the aggregative heart manifests after gain of the objective nature, has the following five significances. A) It is obtained from the present quantity. B) It has media qualities, such as a sound must have hearable media qualities. C) It is born from its own seed, cannot be produced directly by the aggregative heart. D) It has factual function and usage. E) Its nature and boundary category do not change along heart’s change.
II) Solitary Head Environment, which is projected by the aggregative heart itself alone, its presentation is projected and held on by the internal thoughts, has no other nature. There are four states of mind studied in Buddhism, namely: A) the wakeful state of mind; B) the still state, i.e., hallucinational state, such as the phenomena talked in Chapter 12 Meditation; C) the state of dream; and D) the state of loose mind, such as the occasionally popping up thought by the mind on its own. The last three of these four states are all Solitary Head Environments.
III) Qualitative Environment, that the objective environment has it own based on quality, the subjective viewer cannot get its real natural phenomenon. The kind of environment has following two types. A) Truly Qualitative Environment, means that heart aggregates heart, i.e., the sixth sense is to aggregate all other hearts and heartland laws, and the seventh sense alone aggregates view-quadrant of the eighth sense. B) Similar Qualitative Environment means that heart aggregates color (color means matter in Buddhism), the saying is that the projected objectives have similar quality to its own, such as according to sutra’s teaching to make view, which view is not the present environment aggregated by the former five senses.
The former five senses and the eighth sense only aggregate Nature Environments. The sixth sense can aggregate all the three types of environments. The seventh sense only aggregates Qualitative Environments.

11.4.5-4 Correspondences between Eight Senses and Three Quantities

The quantities processed by eight senses have three types, namely Present Quantity, Metaphysical Quantity, and Non-Quantity.
I) Present Quantity is the environment being aggregated by the capable measuring heart, when the heart aggregates the objective phenomena, not having distinguishments and cognitions. Present Quantity has the three significances. A) It is the present time, not past or future. B) The object of cognition must be manifesting, i.e., it must be a law in the present position; seeds cannot be Present Quantity. C) Presently have, the able heart and the being measured environment, both must be clearly presenting at front, mutually combined.
II) Metaphysical Quantity is measurement fruit obtained through speculative comparison and conjecture. For example, if you see smoke on a mountain, you know that there must be a fire there; if you see two horns outside your courtyard wall, you know that there is a cow outside the wall.
III) Non-Quantity is a collective term for “similar present quantity” and “similar metaphysical quantity”. Similar present-quantity is that there is distinguishing intelligence that takes measurements on environmental differentiations, such as a wise man who knows that vases and clothes, etc., which are born from treatment and discrimination, because of those significances not based on their self-phenomena. Similar metaphysical quantity, which arises in accordance with the similar causing intelligence at first, such as in the case of mistaking fog for smoke in a mountain and deducing that there is fire there. Another example is to see a vivid stone lion and be afraid, not thinking it is just a stone. The inability to understand correctly that it is a stream of the true but not the true is called the similar metaphysical quantity.
The former five senses and the eighth sense only aggregate present quantities. The sixth sense can aggregate all the three kinds of quantities. The seventh sense only aggregates non-quantities.

11.4.5-5 Correspondences between Eight Senses and Morality

Morality can be simplified to the three kinds: benevolence, memoryless-ness, and ferocity.
I) Benevolence means the behavior that can benefit this and other generations. Eye-sense, ear-sense, etc., the former six senses have benevolent nature.
II) Ferocity means the behaviors can cause damages in this and other generations. The eye-sense, ear-sense, etc., former six senses have ferocious nature.
III) Memoryless nature, morally neutral, neither good nor evil behavior leaves behind unrecorded karma, i.e., karma without memory or immaculate karma. There are two kinds of memoryless nature, namely, Convertible Memoryless-ness and Nonconvertible Memoryless-ness.
A) Convertible Memoryless-ness is saying of the seventh sense, preconscious-ness, its behaviors are contaminations, but it does not produce good or evil karma, which is called Convertible Memoryless-ness. Preconscious memory is like the memory of a computer, updating all the time, which means that preconscious-ness is Convertible.
B) Nonconvertible Memoryless-ness is talking about the eighth sense, unconsciousness. Many unconscious natures remain unchanged throughout life, and it does not distinguish good and evil, its nature can’t be contaminated, nor good and evil, hence name of Memoryless-ness. The Nonconvertible Memoryless-ness means that everything is remembered unconsciously from the time a person is born to the time of death, and the memory of its past experiences comes into play whether the person's consciousness remembers it or not.
Among the eight senses, eighth sense, unconsciousness, aka God-sense, is only nonconvertible memoryless nature; seventh sense, preconscious-ness, aka Eve-sense, is convertible memoryless nature. Eye-sense, ear-sense etc. former six senses have all the three ethical natures, which is saying that they appear as good nature when they are among good laws; when they are among evil laws, they show as evil nature.

11.4.5-6 Correspondences between Eight Senses and Heartland Laws

The former five senses correspond to the 34 heartland laws (cf. section 11.4.4.1), which are the 5 Omnipresent Heartland Laws, namely, attention, touch, acceptance, think, and mean; the 5 Particular Environment Heartland Laws, namely, desire, resolution, spell, stillness, and gnosis; the 11 Benevolent Heartland Laws, namely, belief, shame, sin, greedless-ness, non-irritability, non-ignorance, diligently advance, light ease, non-indulgence, acting renunciation, harmlessness; the Fundamental Annoyances, namely, greed, irritability, ignorance; the 2 Medium Following Annoyances, namely, shamelessness and sinlessness; and the eight Large Following Annoyances, namely, drowsiness, depression, unbelief, slackness, indulgence, lost spell, agitation, incorrect know.
The sixth sense, intent-sense, corresponds to all the 51 heartland laws (cf. section 11.4.4.1).
The seventh sense, preconsciousness, corresponds to the eighteen heartland laws, which are the 5 Omnipresent Heartland Laws, namely, attention, touch, acceptance, think, and mean; the 1 Particular Environment Heartland Law, gnosis; the 4 Fundamental Annoyances, greed, ignorance, arrogance, and Seth view; and the 8 Large Following Annoyances, drowsiness, depression, unbelief, slackness, indulgence, lost spell, agitation, incorrect know.
The eighth sense, unconsciousness, corresponds only to the 5 Omnipresent Heartland Laws: attention, touch, acceptation, think, and mean.
↪️Back to Catalog of Chapter 11🎄Tree of Life
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2024.06.02 17:00 AutoModerator Weekly Questions Post - June 02, 2024

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2024.06.02 16:56 habanerolime [US] [SELLING] Limited Edition Box Sets, Some OOP, Criterion, Radiance, Eureka, 88 Films

[US] [SELLING] Limited Edition Box Sets, Some OOP, Criterion, Radiance, Eureka, 88 Films
Shipping from Maine. $4.50 boxed shipping, free for purchases of $75 or more. PayPal Friends & Family preferred. If you wish to use Goods & Services, please discuss with me before payment. Most titles are priced below eBay and other marketplaces because I would like to see all these titles move before the end of the month. I take care of my collection and try to grade conservatively because I would want the same.
All titles are 1080p Blu-ray unless noted. Playback regions are noted next to each title (A/B for a title that plays in regions A and B, for example). Feel free to ask for additional photos.
Sold titles tracked in separate comment below.
The Brave Archer Collection (Shout, Limited Edition, A) — $60
Alfie + My Generation (Imprint, LE, A/B/C, small dent in outer box) — $40
Cosa Nostra (Radiance, LE, includes obi, B) — $45
The Bounty Hunter Trilogy (Radiance, LE, includes obi, B) — $45
The End of Civilization (Radiance, LE, includes obi, B) — $45
World Noir Vol. 1 (Radiance, LE, includes obi, B) — $45
Rogue Cops and Racketeers (Arrow, LE, A) — $40
Tiger Cage 1-3 (88 Films LE, B) — $60
Universal Noir 1 (Indicator LE, B) — $50
Hammer Volume Five (Indicator LE, B) — $35
Small Axe (Criterion, A) — $42
Lady Reporter (Eureka LE, B) — $20
She Shoots Straight (Eureka LE, B) — $20
Hero (88 Films LE, A/B) — $12
Legendary Weapons of China (88 Films, A/B) — $10
China O’Brien 1 & 2 (Eureka LE, 4K) — $35
Crime Story (88 Films LE, B, slip has some wear) — $18
Martial Club (88 Films LE, A/B) — $12
The Chinese Boxer (88 Films, A/B) — $10
A Touch of Zen (Criterion, A) — $15
A Dry White Season (Criterion, A) — $15
Weekend (Criterion, A) — $15
Make Way for Tomorrow (Criterion, A) — $15
Cul-de-sac (Criterion, A) — $15
The Missionary (Indicator LE, B) — $16
Love on the Dole (Indicator LE, B) — $16
Forty Guns (Eureka, B) — $15
Deadpool 4K steelbook (A, includes protective cover, VG+) — $50
Deadpool 2 4K steelbook (A, includes original plastic slipcover, VG+) — $30
Highlander 4K steelbook (A, Lionsgate first pressing, includes original plastic slipcover, like new) — $25
When Horror Came to Shochiku DVD (Criterion Eclipse series, A, outer slip has some wear but inner cases and discs are nice) — $20
The Uninvited (Criterion, A) — $12
Sleep (Arrow, LE, A) — $17
The Curious Case of Benjamin Button (Criterion, A, sold as add-on only) — $2
Prometheus, American Hustle, Interstellar, La Haine, Ben-Hur, Alien Covenant DVDs (A, sold as add-ons only) — $1 each (La Haine has disc wear and I do not know if it affects playback)
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2024.06.02 16:54 kayakero How to use MOVING AVERAGES in trading?

How to use MOVING AVERAGES in trading?

What are moving averages in trading?

Moving averages are averages of a certain value, which are adjusted according to the market. That is, an average of x number of time intervals, over a given value.
It can be a 10-day or 10-minute average, for example, of the price of a financial asset.
So, if we ask ourselves what a moving average is in trading, we can say that:
For example, if we are using daily candles , a moving average of 30 will represent the average of the asset's price for the last 30 days.
And this average is going to move forward, as it progresses in time. That's why it is called a moving average.
Today, the 30-day moving average will show you an average of the price of the previous 30 days, not counting today.
Tomorrow, it will show you an average of the last 29 days plus the sum of today's average (29+1=30).
And usually the price taken for each candle or time frame is the closing price.
If we are using daily candles, and we place a 30-day moving average, the average will be made between the closing prices of those 30 days.
We are going to see it much clearer with an example.

Simple moving average example

Let's do an example of a simple moving average to understand it better.
Suppose we have these closing price data for each day for a share of company ABC:
Day 1: $10
Day 2: $11
Day 3: $13
Day 4: $11
Day 5: $12
Day 6: $14
Day 7: $15
Day 8: $14
Day 9: $13
Day 10: $16
That is, on day 1, one share of ABC was worth $10 at the market close of that day. On day 2, the price of one ABC share closed at $11.
And so on until we reach day 10.
So, if we wanted to calculate the 5-day moving average (MA5) for ABC stock, we would do the following calculation:
So: we can calculate the 5-day moving average at the close of the 5th day , and it has a value of 11.4. It will be 0.6 below the 5th day price ($12)
And so we are going to run the average forward for the following days.
At the close of the 10th, we will be able to calculate the moving average of the last 5 days at $14.4.
However, the trading platform will do this calculation for us automatically, and it will show us a graph like the following:
The blue line represents the 100-day moving average, and the red line shows the 200-day moving average.

What are the most used moving averages?

When we analyze a moving average or average, we can do so over different time periods.
That is, both on the chart and in the spreadsheet, the time of a moving average is chosen by the trader.
Depending on the type of analysis you want to perform.
Thus, we can use moving averages from 1 time interval onwards .
If we are using daily candles and apply an average of 10, we will see a 10-day closing average.
If we change the chart to candlesticks or 1-hour intervals, the average will adapt to this time period.
Instead of being a 10-day moving average, it will become a 10-hour moving average.
And so we change socks, or superimpose the ones we want.
However, there are some time frames that are most commonly used by analysts and traders.
Let's see what they are.

Moving average of 200

We start with probably the most well-known and used moving average.
This is an average of 200 time intervals and is generally applied to daily candlesticks.
However, it can also be applied to longer or shorter candles.
For very long term charts, the 200 month moving average is a very good indicator.
If you are going to carry out position trading or investments for more than a year, take this average into account.
What are the most used moving averages?
When we analyze a moving average or average, we can do so over different time periods.
That is, both on the chart and in the spreadsheet, the time of a moving average is chosen by the trader.
Depending on the type of analysis you want to perform.
Thus, we can use moving averages from 1 time interval onwards .
If we are using daily candles and apply an average of 10, we will see a 10-day closing average.
If we change the chart to candlesticks or 1-hour intervals, the average will adapt to this time period.
Instead of being a 10-day moving average, it will become a 10-hour moving average.
And so we change socks, or superimpose the ones we want.
However, there are some time frames that are most commonly used by analysts and traders.
Let's see what they are.
Moving average of 200 periods
We start with probably the most well-known and used moving average.
This is an average of 200 time intervals and is generally applied to daily candlesticks.
However, it can also be applied to longer or shorter candles.
For very long term charts, the 200 month moving average is a very good indicator.
If you are going to carry out position trading or investments for more than a year, take this average into account.
Moving average of 50 periods
The 50 moving average is as well known as the 200 moving average because they go hand in hand.
Although it represents a much shorter time interval, the combination of the 50 and 200 day moving averages is ideal for the long term.
And they are widely used to analyze actions on the stock market.
It can also be applied to shorter time intervals to carry out strategies with moving averages for swing trading.
Keep it in mind for medium and long-term charts.
Moving averages for cryptocurrencies: 100 and 7
No moving average is specific to any given market or asset.
However, there are tendencies in some markets to react better to certain measures than others.
In the case of the crypto market, the moving average of 100 for the long and medium term is very useful.
Typically applied to 1 day or 4 hour time frames, the 100 average shows very good synergy with digital currency movements.
Among the short-term moving averages, the 7 moving average is the most prominent in this case.
Although it tends to be quite close to the chart, it works very well for short trading positions. Both rising and falling prices.
Moving averages for loer time frames: 20, 9 and 4
Just as there are moving averages for long-term charts, there are averages for short-term and very short-term charts.
In this case, we have 3 socks that adapt very well to any time interval.
And they are very useful for trading in short periods of time. These are the averages of 20, 9 and 4 periods.
If you are looking for, for example, moving averages for scalping, these are good options to consider.
They work very well combined.
Applying the 3 averages to the price chart and using the average crossing that we will see later.
These three moving averages are presented by John J. Murphy in the book “Technical Analysis of Financial Markets”.

When and what moving averages to use?

If you're looking for a short and specific answer, keep this in mind:
If you are going to do short-term trading , opening and closing positions in days or weeks, use between 2 and 3 short to medium-term moving averages.
For example, apply the 4, 9, and 20 moving averages to a 4-hour candlestick chart.
To have a better vision of the market.
On the other hand, if you are going to carry out position trading or long-term investments , apply the 200 and 50 day moving averages. You can even also apply the 100-day moving average.
It is always better to use between 2 and 3 moving averages.
To better understand the price direction.
Applying more than 3 averages could make a lot of noise (very busy graph) in the analysis, and will not give you a very clear strategy.
And using just a moving average may not be enough to make a buy or sell decision.

Trading strategy with moving averages

Now I am going to show you a practical way to apply moving averages.
A very simple but effective trading strategy.
Only using moving averages on a price chart. Which can be applied to any market, such as stocks, forex, cryptocurrencies, etc.
This is the crossing of moving averages.
Applying two or three averages of different duration to each other, to the same price chart.
Useful Articles:
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Moving average crossovers: Golden Cross and Death Cross

When we apply more than one moving average to the chart, with different durations (for example, 5 and 10 candles), we see that there are times when these moving averages intersect.
In fact, the strategy we saw above is based on these moving average crossovers.
And we can identify them with the following names:
  • Golden Cross
  • Death Cross
To explain, let's assume that we have a price chart with two moving averages : a longer one of 200 days, and a shorter one of 50 days.
When the shorter moving average (50 days) is above the longer moving average (200 days), the general price trend will be bullish.
If, on the other hand, the 200-day moving average is above the 50-day moving average, the trend will be bearish.
When the 50-day moving average goes from being below the 200 average to being above it, a Golden Cross occurs .
The alcist cruce.
This represents a bullish signal for the price chart, and prices are expected to continue higher after this crossover.
On the contrary, when the average of 50 goes from being above that of 200 to being below it, a bearish crossover or Death Cross occurs.
And prices are expected to start a downtrend after this.
https://preview.redd.it/pp6a120wr54d1.png?width=872&format=png&auto=webp&s=1bddf1c1b2b7bee7254119aeed47544725161af8

The 10% difference with the moving average

A simpler strategy with moving averages is the 10% split.
For this strategy we will only need a moving average, which is not very short.
The ideal would be to use moving averages of 50 intervals or more (50, 100, 150, 200, etc.).
In this case, we will only buy or sell when the price departs more than 10% from the moving average.
That is, if the price is more than 10% below the average, it will be a bullish signal. And, therefore, we buy.
And when the price rises more than 10% above the average, we sell.
It is a useful and simple strategy, but it will be better if it is complemented with other technical indicators.

Moving averages and RSI for a better result

An extra that we can add to our strategy with moving averages: consult the RSI.
We are not going to detail in this post how the RSI works, because it would become very extensive.
But we can say that it is a very good complement for the study of trends.
And, since moving averages are based on trends, they go very well with the RSI.
Basically, what we are going to do is check the RSI before buying or selling as indicated by the moving averages.
For example, if the average crossover indicates a buy, but the RSI is very high, we do not load any orders.
The same if the averages indicate selling, but the RSI is very low, anticipating a possible rebound.
But, when both indicators give us the same signals (buy or sell), then we are going to operate.
Of course, we will do less trading operations.
But we will have more fundamentals when making a purchase or sale.
Useful Articles:
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submitted by kayakero to CapitalistExploits [link] [comments]


2024.06.02 16:51 swtogirl AITA for telling my (43f) BF(47m) he is spoiling his kids?

I am not OOP. OOP is u/Duuveltje who posted on AITAH.

Do NOT comment on Original Posts. See rule 7. This sub has a 7-day waiting period so the latest update is at least 7 days old.


Editor's Note: I did some very mild editing for readability, mainly I moved the small update below the major update in the second post so they appear chronologically.

Trigger Warning: Physical violence

AITA for telling my (43f) BF(47m) he is spoiling his kids? January 25, 2023

(throw away account)
Me (43f) and my boyfriend (47m) have been together for about 6 months, but have been friends for a long time. He is divorced, has a full time job and takes care of his children (12&14) full time. I was single, no kids. My boyfriend has been taking care of his kids full time for 4 years now. He is doing very well as a single dad, lots of respect for that. I get along very well with the kids, they’ve always been nice to me. Problem is: I think he spoils his kids. I’ve always kept my mouth shut about this until 2 weeks ago.
Example: at Christmas we went to dinner at his parent's house, his sister was also there with her family. His youngest comes in with his laptop open, connects to Wi-Fi and starts gaming with his back to everyone over dinner. He hardly said anything to his family. I found this very disrespectful, especially towards the grandparents.
Another example: my boyfriend always cooks dinner. Sometimes 2 or 3 different things to everyone's liking. His eldest then refuses to eat what she "ordered" herself, gets mad because she gets hungry and makes BF go to the store or get take-out late at night.
Another example: The eldest usually sits upstairs in her room. The youngest is downstairs gaming on his laptop or playstation. When he plays on his laptop, he puts on youtube game videos on the TV. That means that we (the adults) can never watch TV. We could watch something that everyone likes, but we can’t because 12 year old controls the TV. We just sit at the kitchen table and talk a bit.
He always gives his children what they want, he never tells them no. They never have to do simple chores like load the dishwasher or feed the dog. BF does everything alone. His children treat him like a slave and it hurts me to see that, but it also irritates me.
Because of this, I don't like coming to their house anymore. As a result, he only comes to my house to fuck (literally in and out) making me feel like a whore. That hurt, so I finally poured my heart out. I told him he raises his kids to be spoiled and entitled. He was very offended by what I said. He said the divorce was hard on the kids and he had to “fix” them. (They lived with their mother for a while where they were neglected according to him).
So this blew up and I haven’t seen him in 2 weeks. He keeps texting me and asking if we can talk to work it out. I miss him very much and I really love him but I don't know if this can be solved. I don't see how things are going to change. I know it's easy for me to talk for someone without kids and I understand very well that it is difficult as a single father. But if he doesn't teach his kids manners, I don't know how this could work out. Not even for me, but for him and for the kids. Life is going to be very difficult for them when they find out that they can't always get their way. AITA here?

Commenter:
The purpose of dating is to find someone who shares your values.
He does not.
Move on.

Commenter:
Your bf is in the position of feeling sorry for his kids about the divorce and that their mom is crappy and neglectful, I get that. But, he is indeed spoiling them, trying to be oh so good to them to make it up. He can’t. He is causing them harm by prolonging the dysfunction. Neglect or over-spoiling…both are the wrong way. Kids feel better when they are part of a healthy working unit/family. When they contribute they feel self-worth.
He should have them doing chores and he should stop catering to their unreasonable demands. But unless he understands this, and wants to really make the changes, well, your role is limited. And you need to decide based on one more conversation if you want to be a part of his plan going forward. It’s good that you pointed out how he is failing his kids. But you can only decide to stay or leave. and you can tell him: I want to be part of a healthy family where everyone pitches in and adults have some priority over what kids want. Stay or go based on what the situation is, not what you wish it was.

Major update after my last post. My (43f) BF’s (47m) kid is out of control. AITA for wanting to report him? January 31, 2023 (6 days later)

(Update after my latest post, throw away account)
My boyfriend and I continued to text each other after our big fight. We slowly got a little more understanding of each other and decided to see each other again. Remember: we really do love each other (or so I thought).
He came to my house a few times and I came (though hesitantly) to his house. Everything was ok as he assured me that his children (14f and 12m) were not aware of our argument. They were just nice to me again, as usual. We talked and had a drink. At one point, the oldest went upstairs to her room and the youngest stayed downstairs on the couch playing video games.
My BF went outside to walk the dog. He wouldn't be gone for more than a few minutes. I sat at the kitchen table with my phone as the youngest son got up and tossed his empty glass onto the counter from a distance. Of course, he missed and the glass shattered on the floor. I said to him "Why would you throw a glass? You know it will break!"
I got up to pick up the big shards and asked him to get the vacuum cleaner. I was bent over, with my back to him. The 12-year-old came out of nowhere and low-kicked me against the back of my thigh really hard. I banged my head against the low kitchen cabinets and tried to catch myself with my hand. But I already had some big shards of glass in my hand so I had big cuts. It didn't seem too deep but I was bleeding profusely.

His sister came downstairs because of the noise and shouted: “What have you done???” She cried and she tried to help me (she really did) but I got up, got my things, and got the fuck out of there.
Once home I pulled out the shards out of my hand but it kept bleeding so I drove myself to the ER. I got 12 stitches in 3 different cuts on my hand. Luckily no permanent damage. I also think I had a (mild?) concussion because I had trouble driving to and from the hospital, and because I was still dizzy for 2 days. I also have a big bruise on my leg where he kicked me.
During my hospital visit and the hours after my ex blew up my phone. I didn't answer because I was so mad I thought I would say things I would regret. After two days I told him what had happened. He was surprised by my story, he said the kids told him I freaked out at his son because he dropped a glass. I showed him pictures of my injuries but he doesn't believe it happened as I said.
Obviously, this is my ex now. I don’t want anything to do with a delusional man like that ever again. Let alone with his demon children. I told him I was going to report assault to the police, and that I have the hospital records to back me up. He begged me not to because he's afraid he'll lose his kids. Their mother is not a good alternative, so they might end up in foster care.
AITA here???
To be clear, I don't want my ex to lose his kids. I still honestly think he's trying his best but he can't handle it. His children grow up to be entitled little brats!
EDIT: I recognize that I shouldn't call the kids spoiled brats. They are a result of their upbringing. Also: the youngest has been doing martial arts for the last 2 years because he was bullied at school. Another parenting decision that I don't necessarily support (not in that context) but that's another discussion.

(small update) (Editor's note: same post, a day later)

Well, this blew up beyond imagination. Thank you all for your (mostly) kind words and advice. So I called the police today and made an appointment with a police officer that specializes in family matters. This will take place tomorrow.
Also, I want to clarify some things because I couldn't respond to every post.
My ex and I hung out a lot longer than 6 months, so I did get to see the family dynamics before we got together. I just didn't think it was that problematic at the time.
Dad and his ex went through a difficult divorce. I don't know many details but I do know that things were not going well at the mother's house. The kids were removed from there and went to live with their dad permanently. So they are already in the system.
I know dad has been called to school a few times because of fights involving his son.
Brother and sister seem to get along aside from the usual siblings arguments. I did hear dad and daughter say (on different occasions) that son is getting bigger and stronger and sometimes hurts her (unintentionally?) I never had the impression that he assaulted his sister.
I think the daughter is a typical teenager who is grumpy at times and often isolates herself in her room. I don't see any problematic behavior there, other than the fact that Dad is bending over backward to attend to her sometimes ridiculous needs. I didn’t say anything, I just thought he was spoiling her rotten.
Dad says the son is on the autistic spectrum. I've never noticed any of that (I'm not a specialist) other than that he throws a tantrum almost every time he doesn’t get his way.
Dad once told me that the son was bitten by the dog because he teased him. But I have often seen the son cuddling with the dog. I don't think he's hurting the dog.

I reported my ex BF’s kid February 1, 2023 (8 days later)
Update from my previous post
I needed a day to reflect but I got my shit together and called the police and made an appointment with the local police officer, that was today. I sat with him and told him everything that had happened. He was very patient and understanding and let me tell my story. I explained to him that I didn't want to press charges but that I had concerns about my ex's family and that I would like them to get help, but I don't know how. I don’t want to get the son in trouble, I want to get him help.
He said that as a police officer, he couldn't do anything for me because I didn't want to press charges, but that he had been working with a social worker for years and called her right away for advice. He summarized my story and asked if she was okay with being on speaker. We talked but unfortunately, she didn't have much time so we made an agreement that she would call me at the end of the week. She did tell me and the officer that it was important to document our conversation, along with photos of my injuries. I said I didn't want to because I didn't want to press charges. She explained that it was only a document of this case to go on file, in case it might be needed later. So I agreed.
I followed the officer into some kind of interrogation room (that's what it looked like). He typed out my statement and I signed it. He called in another officer (a woman) to take pictures of my injuries because I had to pull my pants down. They took pictures of my hand and the bruise on the back of my leg, which is still dark purple. So now I have to wait for the call from the social worker.

Commenter:
Why did you not want to press charges? 12 is old enough to know not to abuse someone like that.

Commenter:
Excuse me? You don’t want to press charges? What country do you live in? Cops, by law, must file charges in any case of domestic or sexual violence. I don’t care if he’s 12 or, in a recent case 6 years old. Cops should be opening an investigation and contacting the DA’s office for charges. The child needs to be removed from the home, tested and placed somewhere he can get the help he needs.

OOP responds:
I am one of those few dozen people who do not live in the US

Commenter:
I sincerely hope you don’t regret not pressing charges. That kid is too young to be diagnosed with psychopathy, but if he seriously harms or kills the next person? And all you did was make a report? Really? Lady, the signs are all there. Hope it turns out well, for everyone’s sake.

Editor's Note: OOP hasn't been active on this throwaway account since the last post, so I am marking this inconclusive. Although OOP decided not to press charges, the story didn't really feel finished and we never heard from her again. If you disagree with the flair, comment below.

Reminder: I am not OOP. Do NOT comment on Original Posts. See rule 7.

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2024.06.02 16:47 agape5165153 Christianity is Objectively True

Christianity is Objectively True
Christianity isn’t based on any abstract belief system. It’s based entirely on historical events which took place. If Jesus existed, did mighty miracles, was crucified, and rose again on the third day in glory, this would mean His message is one of truth and authority. If someone came with the power to override the laws of nature you would believe what they tell you regarding how the universe works. So the question is did these events really take place or is it just some fairytale?
The first thing to do would be to examine the documents in question. The primary documents proposed comprise of the New Testament, which consist of the four gospels Matthew, Mark, Luke and John (the first 3 were written before 70 AD, John was written around 70 AD). Then there is Acts (early church history), the epistles (letters detailing instruction to early churches), and revelation (a book of prophecy).
The first 4 gospels are all written with the express purpose of being eyewitness accounts, written either by direct apostles of Christ or those who knew the apostles. All four of these are what you generally would expect with these sorts of accounts. There are slight contradictions (as expected), however they all combine together to create the same detailed message. At the same time they consistently get an impressive amount of historical and geographical details correct for the time, showing they were written early as they wouldn’t have been able to google the info. Conveniently, they get so many details right that the gospel accounts fit into history like a jigsaw puzzle piece. What this tells us is that the writers were concerned with the utmost accuracy in their recording of events. Sources outside the bible exist commenting on early Christianity, and none of them deny that Christ existed. Rather than deny He did any miracles (as the evidence was overwhelming) they instead only slandered Him (ref. the Talmud, Julian the Apostate). Rather than present His dead body, they falsely claim His disciples stole it.
If we check other historical sources such as Josephus, we can fill in omissions of information in stories reported by the gospel. Matthew’s gospel writes that Joseph was afraid to return somewhere because of Archeleus. We know from other writings outside the bible that Archeleus existed and was very bloodthirsty. This is just one example out of many.
The writers of the gospels also were thoroughly convinced that they had witnessed and interacted with the Risen Christ, as their lives show they spent the rest of their days going and preaching the gospel to the Jews and foreign nations. They would often be beat up, flogged and punished severely for this, which would make no sense at all if they were making it all up. It would have been easier for them to just remain in their ordinary lives, with their families, rather than be ousted from their home country for being “criminals”. At the very least some of them died for their confession. They cared very deeply about accuracy (as referenced before), but now we can see they were thoroughly convinced of their experience. Their writings are not that of mad people, since mad people rarely ever work together for long periods of time. Yet we see complex philosophical concepts in the New Testament which would be impossible for mentally insane people to make. This demonstrates the absurdity of claiming they stole His body.
Aside from personal miracles I’ve experienced (you can see my testimony on my profile), the God of the bible actually challenged every so-called god to do what only He has ever done. That is, to foretell the future with incredible accuracy. He said of Himself that He reveals the end from the beginning.
Firstly, is Christ Himself. During His time on earth in Israel, as part of the Old Covenant, they required a temple in order to fulfil the ceremonial law. This temple was absolutely huge and very beautiful. The gates were so large that they required 20 men to open and close, and at night they were bolted with iron. Christ foretold of its destruction, saying:
Luke 21:5-6 5 Then, as some spoke of the temple, how it was adorned with beautiful stones and donations, He said, 6 “These things which you see—the days will come in which not one stone shall be left upon another that shall not be thrown down.”
Luke 21:20-24 20 “But when you see Jerusalem surrounded by armies, then know that its desolation is near. 21 Then let those who are in Judea flee to the mountains, let those who are in the midst of her depart, and let not those who are in the country enter her. 22 For these are the days of vengeance, that all things which are written may be fulfilled. 23 But woe to those who are pregnant and to those who are nursing babies in those days! For there will be great distress in the land and wrath upon this people. 24 And they will fall by the edge of the sword, and be led away captive into all nations. And Jerusalem will be trampled by Gentiles until the times of the Gentiles are fulfilled.
And we know from history, approximately 40 years after the crucifixion of Christ, the second temple was totally destroyed by the Romans, who killed many of the Jews with the sword, taking them captive into their own nations.
Historians such as Josephus (a Jew who fought for Rome during this siege), and Tacitus (a pagan Roman govenor), and the Talmud all wrote of this event which took place. All of these sources state that miraculous omens took place in the second temple before its destruction, such as the gates of the temple (which require 20 people to open and close), opening by themselves at night, voices telling things to people in the temple, amongst other things. What is striking is the Talmud (which is a collection of Jewish rabbinic writings) says that these signs appeared after 30 AD (matching the crucifixion of Christ). The Talmud also mentioned how each year the Jews would celebrate the day of atonement, in which a scapegoat would be sacrificed for the sins of the nations would lead to a crimson thread miraculously turning white, showing the sins of the nation had been forgiven. After around 30 AD this never happened again, which fulfils what the prophet Jeremiah foretold, saying God would create a new covenant.
Christ has been written of many many many years before He was even born. Psalm 22, is quoted by Jesus when He is on the cross, saying “My God, My God, why have You forsaken Me?”. If one then turns to it, and reads through it, we can see crucifixion being described. It was written by King David around 1000 BC, whereas the earliest records we have of crucifixion is 600 BC. King David was never crucified in his life. And yet, halfway through the psalm it begins to speak of all the foreign nations turning to worship the God of the Jews, which has come to pass after His crucifixion. The chances of this actually taking place are very small, yet it has happened, defying all odds.
Isaiah 52 and 53 prophesy Christ dying for the sins of the world, and rising again, justifying many in very strong detail. To quote a small section of it: He is despised and rejected by men, a man of sorrows well acquainted with grief. We hid, as it were, our faces from Him. He is despised and we did not esteem Him. Surely He has borne our griefs, and carried our sorrows. Yet we esteemed Him stricken, smitten by God and afflicted. But He was wounded for our transgressions, He was bruised for our iniquities. The chastisement for our peace was upon Him and by His stripes we are healed.
Genesis 22 shows the LORD, who had just promised Abraham that his descendants would be as numerous as the stars of the sky, then commands him to slay his son, Isaac. Therefore Abraham reasoned within himself that Isaac would be raised from the dead, as God could not fail to fulfil His promise. Isaac carried the wood up the mountain, just as Christ carried His cross. Abraham was very old at this stage, so Isaac could have easily resisted him and fled, yet it seems he wilfully gave his life, fearing God, just as Christ did the same. And then the place was called "the LORD will provide", after the event.
Daniel 7 shows that the Exalted Messiah, the Son of Man would come with clouds. Christ gave Himself the title. Interestingly the Son of Man is to receive worship from all nations. The Aramaic word used is pelakh which is used exclusively of deities. This gives the Son of Man the status of God, being distinct from the Ancient of Days.
God even foretold the destruction of Tyre (which used to be a trade hub for the whole world) in really really strong detail.
I could give more examples, but suffice to say. I’ve looked at a lot of the criticism the bible gets, and it still stands. So with all this being said, even though I am 100% sure He is real, good and Lord of all (cos I know Him), to an outsider there is compelling evidence that the Messiah of the Jews and Saviour of the world is Jesus Christ.
Good sources: Mike Winger (YouTube) Testify (YouTube - he recommends books) InspiringPhilosophy (personally I disagree with some of his videos but good on this subject) https://www.equip.org/articles/the-jewish-talmud-and-its-use-for-christian-apologetics/
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2024.06.02 16:47 Brilliant_Nebula5375 Why is BM so bitter??

My husband and I started dating four years ago and got married about two months ago. I have a SS age 6 with nonverbal autism. I’m also 6 months pregnant. BM got married about a year ago. I really thought after getting married she would chill out but she hasn’t at all.
We all know each other from 12-step recovery meetings. My husband relapsed for 3 months in 2022, but otherwise has been clean the last 4.5 years. She is not sober anymore. However, when he relapsed, she took that opportunity to withhold his son, even after completing 70 days in a treatment facility. We spent about $40k in legal fees to get a custody order because she absolutely refused to settle or give my husband any right to see his son.
My husband wants to be an involved dad, but BM makes any communication all but impossible. He has repeatedly asked her to put SS’s events, appointments, etc. in the calendar in the parenting app they communicate through, but she refuses. She won’t tell him about SS’s new doctors until he repeatedly asks. She moved SS two hours away (without husband’s permission and behind his back, which is a whole other story) so it’s tough to participate in a lot of things. But the things he would/could participate in she won’t tell him about. For example, he would have called out of work to attend SS’s kindergarten graduation, but she never told him about it and the teacher told my husband too late for him to be able to call out.
And yet, despite refusing to provide information, trying to withhold SS, etc., she does her utmost to make him out to be a neglectful dad. She makes constant passive aggressive comments, oversteps boundaries (like trying to strong arm us into spraying our yard for mosquitoes when I’m pregnant and don’t want to be exposed to the chemicals), and has my number blocked for absolutely no reason (I want to talk to her as like as possible, but since we have SS every weekend I think an open line of communication is important - my husband did add me to the parenting app). She won’t provide any constructive advice on how to handle symptoms of SS’s autism when asked, but instead says it proves he can’t handle his son.
Idk. This is way too long. I’m just venting. It’s really tough and we feel like we fighting a losing battle.
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