GIGAS Alliance

• The Custodianship considers Japan to be extremely volatile and recommends avoiding any and all interactions to ensure the well being of the people of the custodianship. On the other hand, the Custodianship considers the UNSC to be a key partner in reconstruction and geopolitical positioning globally, and considers alignment with the UNSC necessary and mutually beneficial given shared regional interests and ideological alignment with our goals.

• The UNSC, formed part of a coalition that killed millions and has annexed Morocco and Algeria. This is a cause for concern as the Custodianship was formerly territory that was no different than these territories and such moves are overwhelmingly unpopular among the public.Its decision to protect Jerusalem from Japan as well as certain other cities has improved popular opinion relative to Japan and the UASR.
  
• Given the UNSC's commitment to establishing functional independent states, significant shared interests are present between the UNSC and the custodianship. All current assessments show that a desire to build sustainable and prosperous states in the region are genuine. As such, the custodianship has no plans of suspending our military or economic alliance and wishes to maintain it far into the future.
  
• The Custodianship believes that closer ties to the UNSC are the best way to proceed given the current geopolitical landscape. Should the UNSC be open to it, furthering ties during and after reconstruction would be ideal.
  
• The UNSC's alliance with Japan via GIGAS may prove to be problematic should it be drawn into another war of conquest.
  

• Japanese human rights violations coupled with repeated violations of pre-existing alliances has granted it the LOW trustworthiness score and a HIGH belligerency score. The custodianship is advised to avoid any and all interactions with Japan for the time being.
  
• Given Japanese debt collection efforts elsewhere, the custodianship advises against any and all trade with Japan at the time being as well as any and all lending, as there is far more that may be lost than gained.
  
• Alfheimr succession may cause substantial instability, especially given the mysterious disappearance of Aesir Dederick, the genetic differences between the Alfr and Japanese citizens elsewhere, the substantial cultural differences, and the presence of a large Alfr army in Western Europe. Any civil war may be disastrous globally and would result in far more humanitarian catastrophes and disruption of supply chains. Given this fact, the Custodianship recommends autarchy wherever possible for this eventuality.
  

Bandung Pact

• The Custodianship considers the Bandung Pact to be a potential threat to the independence of the custodianship given the UASR's historical desire to conquer the Egyptian region as demonstrated during the negotiation of the Treaty of Istanbul. Moreover, given the lack of a common enemy, namely the Caliphate and Alfr, the Pact is prone to infighting and is generally disorganized and militarily weaker than other alliance blocs, especially given the impact of the Last Brother War. The continued occupation regions in the east and west create potential flash-points for long-term conflicts that these nations may be drawn into. The Custodianship recommends neutrality in dealings with the Bandung Pact.

• The United States of Asia currently occupies Pakistan and is on the brink of civil war. Having recently united a series of sporadic corrupt statelets and invaded and occupied a historical enemy, this state is likely on the brink of collapse. Its primary contribution to the Bandung Pact appears to be the large number of soldiers it can recruit. The custodianship has little to gain economically, technologically, or militarily from relations with the USA.

• The UASR is the major power behind the Bandung Pact, but should not be trusted. Having previously attempted to seize Egypt, likely for access to the Meditteranean and/or Suez Canal, and having pressed the UNSC for control during the Treaty of Istanbul, the custodianship should proceed with caution.
  
• The custodianship's lack of an army places it at a high risk, especially if the UNSC is drawn into a war at the behest of Japan. As such, the UNSC's prior policy of armed neutrality is recommended to avert incursions by the UASR and attempts to seize the nation.
  
• Public opinion is extremely negative towards the UASR given their unprovoked attack against the Caliphate and the millions that were killed as a result of their decisions. Expansion of ties would not be taken well by the populace.
  
• While ties with the UASR may prove fruitful economically, this may eventually result in the annexation of the custodianship into this state. As such, the custodianship recommends remaining on good terms with the UASR while remaining at arms length.
  

• The Republic of Houston proves to be extremely problematic for the Bandung Pact given its proximity to Japan's western holdings. Given prior Japanese adventures in North Africa, they are likely to isolate and conquer Houston without the Pact being able to respond due to the large distance. This creates a potential flashpoint for the overall pact that may escalate into a larger conflict. The custodianship warns against substantial investment with this state given the higher risk, but is unopposed to any other ties with this state.

• Nusantara formed part of the coalition that destroyed much of Cairo and Alexandria, but was a relatively minor part of the coalition. Given its distance from the region, there is a relatively lower risk associated with relations with this state, but also not much to be gained.
  
• The continued occupation of the eastern RIGS may result in future conflict between the RIGS and Nusantara, making extensive economic relations with either of these states unfavourable. Should the occupation end, there may be more to be gained economically from cooperating owing to an advanced technological base.
  

• Given that Brazil has largely kept to itself and is only part of the pact by virtue of threat of encirclement, the custodianship is unopposed to relations with this nation. That said, the large scale chip epidemic may prove to be problematic and the Custodianship recommends maintaining the border-control protocol established by the Caliphate government regarding the detection and removal of brain chips at the border.

Caliphate Successors

• Badiyah is seen to have largely regressed into a largely tribal society. The xenomorph swarms coupled with the Caliph abandoning Egypt to protect the West has left a sour taste in Alexandria. The xenomorph hordes are a constant risk at border regions requiring additional militarization to address this issue. Badiyan revanchism also proves to be a potential risk as the state sees itself as the successor to the Caliphate.
  
• The economies of the custodianship and Badiyah were previously highly integrated given long-standing supply chains and the DESERTEC II project. It is recommended to maintain positive ties with the Caliphate to ensure the continuation of these projects, while keeping it at an arms length to preserve the independence of the state and prevent further regression into tribal and religious rule.
  
• The Custodianship must act as a counterweight to Badiyan ideology, positioning itself as a bastion of liberty staying true to the democratic ideals of the Hirak of the 2010s as opposed to the extreme Islamism of the late 2060s. Failure to achieve an ideological victory by delivering economic benefits would likely result in unfavourable ideological shifts within the custodianship.
  

• The Triarchy is the strongest of the Caliphate successor states given the existence of much of the Caliphate's industrial base in Turkey.
  
• The Triarchy would pose a substantial threat to the custodianship had it bordered the nation. Luckily, the State of Palestine provides a buffer. Assistance must be given to the State of Palestine to prevent such an eventuality.
  
• The Slayer is considered to be an erratic figure and may not always act rationally, especially given the large massacre in China at the behest of Japan and the mass repression resulting in a cult of personality in the country. It is thus best to remain on good terms with this state, collaborating economically wherever possible but avoiding any military relations for the time being.
  

• Unlike the Western Caliphate, the Eastern Caliphate seems disinterested in revanchism and will instead seek to reclaim its occupied territory from the Bandung Pact. This flash-point may complicate relations should the Custodianship remain neutral. Current assessments show that the Eastern Caliphate is unlikely to make moves against the State of Palestine, which also acts as a buffer between the Custodianship and the Eastern Caliphate.
  
• Economic relations with the Eastern Caliphate may prove to be fruitful, especially regarding supply chains related to oil and gas for plastics manufacturing.
  

• The State of Palestine has much to offer the Custodianship. Given its key strategic geographic position, it acts as a buffer state between the custodianship and the Eastern Caliphate successors.
  
• Being largely ideologically aligned to the UNSC, and on good terms with the Bandung Pact, Palestine may offer an opportunity for the Custodianship to engage in indirect diplomacy with the Bandung Pact without resulting in widespread public anger.
  
• The Custodianship views Palestine as an integral part of its economic and military strategy in the region, and will likely assist it in reconstruction efforts in both these spheres.
  

• The Second Roman Republic was part of the coalition that invaded the Caliphate, opportunistically seizing Istanbul. This is overwhelmingly viewed as a negative act by the populace. While not as significant compared to more egregious acts of orbital bombardment and wiping out city blocks, there is still substantial hesitancy among the public which views Istanbul as occupied land.
  
• The Second Roman Republic is currently well placed geopolitically as a potential ally to the Custodianship given its similar position in balancing relations between GIGAS and the Bandung Pact. It is economically prosperous and may help contribute to reconstruction efforts through its Roman Development Bank.
  
• Should the republic's ambitions extend beyond Western Istanbul, it would be placed in the crosshairs of Japan as well as the Triarchy, resulting in an extremely bloody conflict that the Custodianship must stay out of. As with other states at the verge of war, the Custodianship urges caution regarding investment in this region.